MLB Results — June 11, 2026

MLB Model Results — June 11, 2026

Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.

Top Home Run Threat Results

Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.

#1 Byron Buxton— · vs Keider Montero 18.4% No Home Run

#2 Hunter Goodman— · vs Edward Cabrera 18.4% No Home Run

#3 Shohei Ohtani— · vs Mitch Keller 17.5% Home Run

#4 Colson Montgomery— · vs Martín Pérez 16.7% No Home Run

#5 Juan Soto— · vs Hunter Dobbins 16.4% Home Run

#6 Pete Alonso— · vs Bryan Woo 16.4% Home Run

#7 Seiya Suzuki— · vs Ryan Feltner 16.3% Home Run

#8 Brandon Lowe— · vs Justin Wrobleski 16.2% Home Run

#9 Kerry Carpenter— · vs Zebby Matthews 15.8% No Home Run

#10 Max Muncy— · vs Mitch Keller 15.8% No Home Run

#11 Ian Happ— · vs Ryan Feltner 15.7% No Home Run

#12 Marcell Ozuna— · vs Justin Wrobleski 14.9% No Home Run

#13 Austin Riley— · vs Unknown Pitcher 14.2% No Home Run

#14 Jake Burger— · vs Michael Wacha 11.3% No Home Run

#15 Gunnar Henderson— · vs Bryan Woo 10.6% No Home Run

Pitcher Strikeout Results

Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.

Zebby Matthewsvs Detroit Tigers 6.2 4 -2.2

Michael Wachavs Texas Rangers 6.1 2 -4.1

Kyle Bradishvs Seattle Mariners 5.7 5 -0.7On target

Bryan Woovs Baltimore Orioles 5.7 4 -1.7

Christian Scottvs St. Louis Cardinals 5.2 6 +0.8On target

Keider Monterovs Minnesota Twins 4.7 4 -0.7On target

Hunter Dobbinsvs New York Mets 4.7 5 +0.3On target

Justin Wrobleskivs Pittsburgh Pirates 4.6 1 -3.6

Mitch Kellervs Los Angeles Dodgers 4.6 3 -1.6

Kumar Rockervs Kansas City Royals 4.5 3 -1.5

Edward Cabreravs Colorado Rockies 4.3 5 +0.7On target

Tyler Phillipsvs Arizona Diamondbacks 3.9 5 +1.1

Merrill Kellyvs Miami Marlins 3.8 1 -2.8

Ryan Feltnervs Chicago Cubs 3.6 3 -0.6On target

Hit Probability Results

Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.

Byron Buxton— · vs Keider Montero 65.0% No Hit

Hunter Goodman— · vs Edward Cabrera 65.0% No Hit

Brandon Lowe— · vs Justin Wrobleski 65.0% Hit

Ian Happ— · vs Ryan Feltner 65.0% Hit

Max Muncy— · vs Mitch Keller 65.0% No Hit

Carson Kelly— · vs Ryan Feltner 65.0% Hit

Michael Busch— · vs Ryan Feltner 65.0% Hit

Dansby Swanson— · vs Ryan Feltner 65.0% No Hit

Freddie Freeman— · vs Mitch Keller 65.0% Hit

Alec Burleson— · vs Christian Scott 65.0% Hit

Bryan Reynolds— · vs Justin Wrobleski 64.7% Hit

Andy Pages— · vs Mitch Keller 64.6% Hit

Jake Burger— · vs Michael Wacha 63.9% Hit

Seiya Suzuki— · vs Ryan Feltner 62.7% Hit

Marcell Ozuna— · vs Justin Wrobleski 62.7% No Hit

What the Model Got Right

Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.

Top Home Run Calls

Shohei Ohtani — 17.5% HR probability
Juan Soto — 16.4% HR probability
Pete Alonso — 16.4% HR probability

Top Strikeout Calls

Christian Scott — proj 5.2, recorded 6
Hunter Dobbins — proj 4.7, recorded 5
Edward Cabrera — proj 4.3, recorded 5

Biggest Surprises

Michael Wacha — proj 6.1, recorded 2
Justin Wrobleski — proj 4.6, recorded 1

Highest Performing Projection — Home Run Projection: Shohei Ohtani. Model HR probability 17.5% — result: Home Run.

Live on EdgeRanked

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