MLB Results — June 10, 2026

MLB Model Results — June 10, 2026

Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.

Top Home Run Threat Results

Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.

#1 Byron Buxton— · vs Framber Valdez 18.4% Home Run

#2 Hunter Goodman— · vs Shota Imanaga 18.4% No Home Run

#3 Yordan Alvarez— · vs Reid Detmers 18.3% No Home Run

#4 Shea Langeliers— · vs Brandon Sproat 17.9% No Home Run

#5 Nick Kurtz— · vs Brandon Sproat 17.9% No Home Run

#6 Bryce Harper— · vs Max Scherzer 17.6% Home Run

#7 Shohei Ohtani— · vs Jared Jones 17.5% Home Run

#8 Juan Soto— · vs Andre Pallante 17.5% No Home Run

#9 Pete Alonso— · vs George Kirby 17.5% Home Run

#10 Kyle Schwarber— · vs Max Scherzer 17.5% Home Run

#11 Christian Walker— · vs Reid Detmers 17.2% No Home Run

#12 Tyler Soderstrom— · vs Brandon Sproat 17.1% No Home Run

#13 Brandon Lowe— · vs Shohei Ohtani 16.5% No Home Run

#14 Seiya Suzuki— · vs Michael Lorenzen 16.3% No Home Run

#15 Junior CamineroTampa Bay Rays · vs Jake Bennett 15.7% No Home Run

Pitcher Strikeout Results

Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.

Shohei Ohtanivs Pittsburgh Pirates 7.4 6 -1.4

Chris Salevs Chicago White Sox 7.3 6 -1.3

Reid Detmersvs Houston Astros 7.2 9 +1.8

Parker Messickvs New York Yankees 6.7 4 -2.7

Drew Rasmussenvs Boston Red Sox 6.2 13 +6.8

Jesús Luzardovs Toronto Blue Jays 5.8 8 +2.2

Foster Griffinvs San Francisco Giants 5.8 5 -0.8On target

Michael Kingvs Cincinnati Reds 5.7 3 -2.7

Carlos Rodónvs Cleveland Guardians 5.7 7 +1.3

Seth Lugovs Texas Rangers 5.7 2 -3.7

MacKenzie Gorevs Kansas City Royals 5.5 6 +0.5On target

Shota Imanagavs Colorado Rockies 5.5 7 +1.5

Ryne Nelsonvs Miami Marlins 5.5 2 -3.5

George Kirbyvs Baltimore Orioles 5.5 10 +4.5

Peter Lambertvs Los Angeles Angels 5.3 6 +0.7On target

Hit Probability Results

Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.

Byron Buxton— · vs Framber Valdez 65.0% Hit

Hunter Goodman— · vs Shota Imanaga 65.0% Hit

Christian Walker— · vs Reid Detmers 65.0% Hit

Brandon Lowe— · vs Shohei Ohtani 65.0% Hit

Dansby Swanson— · vs Michael Lorenzen 65.0% No Hit

Ian Happ— · vs Michael Lorenzen 65.0% Hit

Michael Busch— · vs Michael Lorenzen 65.0% Hit

Michael Conforto— · vs Michael Lorenzen 65.0% No Hit

Andrés Chaparro— · vs Robbie Ray 65.0% No Hit

Shea Langeliers— · vs Brandon Sproat 65.0% Hit

Junior CamineroTampa Bay Rays · vs Jake Bennett 65.0% Hit

Austin Martin— · vs Framber Valdez 65.0% Hit

Dane Myers— · vs Michael King 65.0% Hit

Bryce Harper— · vs Max Scherzer 64.0% Hit

Fernando Tatis Jr.— · vs Brady Singer 64.0% Hit

What the Model Got Right

Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.

Top Home Run Calls

Byron Buxton — 18.4% HR probability
Bryce Harper — 17.6% HR probability
Kyle Schwarber — 17.5% HR probability

Top Strikeout Calls

Reid Detmers — proj 7.2, recorded 9
Drew Rasmussen — proj 6.2, recorded 13
Jesús Luzardo — proj 5.8, recorded 8

Biggest Surprises

Drew Rasmussen — proj 6.2, recorded 13
George Kirby — proj 5.5, recorded 10

Highest Performing Projection — Home Run Projection: Byron Buxton. Model HR probability 18.4% — result: Home Run.

Live on EdgeRanked

See today's slate the same way

This is a graded past slate. EdgeRanked publishes the same home run, strikeout, and hit probability analysis for today's games before first pitch.

3-day free trial. The full results archive stays free.

Start Free Trial