MLB Results — April 1, 2026

MLB Model Results — April 1, 2026

Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.

Top Home Run Threat Results

Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.

#1 Kyle Schwarber— · vs Cade Cavalli 22.6% No Home Run

#2 Aaron Judge— · vs George Kirby 20.9% No Home Run

#3 Shohei Ohtani— · vs Gavin Williams 20.0% No Home Run

#4 Jo Adell— · vs Matthew Boyd 19.7% No Home Run

#5 Cal Raleigh— · vs Cam Schlittler 19.7% No Home Run

#6 Riley Greene— · vs Zac Gallen 18.4% No Home Run

#7 Pete Alonso— · vs Nathan Eovaldi 18.4% No Home Run

#8 James Wood— · vs Cristopher Sánchez 18.3% No Home Run

#9 Junior CamineroTampa Bay Rays · vs Jacob Misiorowski 17.3% No Home Run

#10 Juan Soto— · vs Matthew Liberatore 17.1% Home Run

#11 Byron Buxton— · vs Noah Cameron 17.0% No Home Run

#12 Oneil Cruz— · vs Andrew Abbott 16.9% Home Run

#13 Jazz Chisholm Jr.— · vs George Kirby 16.5% No Home Run

#14 Corbin Carroll— · vs Tarik Skubal 16.4% Home Run

#15 Pete Crow-Armstrong— · vs Yusei Kikuchi 16.1% No Home Run

Pitcher Strikeout Results

Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.

Kevin Gausmanvs Colorado Rockies 10.8 10 -0.8On target

Cristopher Sánchezvs Washington Nationals 10.1 7 -3.1

Chris Salevs Athletics 9.8 3 -6.8

Garrett Crochetvs Houston Astros 9.8 7 -2.8

Yoshinobu Yamamotovs Cleveland Guardians 9.3 2 -7.3

Matthew Boydvs Los Angeles Angels 8.6 10 +1.4

Tarik Skubalvs Arizona Diamondbacks 8.4 3 -5.4

Jacob Misiorowskivs Tampa Bay Rays 8.3 7 -1.3

Cam Schlittlervs Seattle Mariners 8.1 7 -1.1

Trevor Rogersvs Texas Rangers 8.0 3 -5.0

George Kirbyvs New York Yankees 7.9 6 -1.9

Nick Pivettavs San Francisco Giants 7.8 8 +0.2On target

Joe Ryanvs Kansas City Royals 7.8 3 -4.8

Sandy Alcantaravs Chicago White Sox 7.4 7 -0.4On target

Freddy Peraltavs St. Louis Cardinals 7.3 7 -0.3On target

Hit Probability Results

Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.

Ernie Clement— · vs Kyle Freeland 69.9% Hit

Jung Hoo Lee— · vs Nick Pivetta 69.2% No Hit

Sal FrelickMilwaukee Brewers · vs Drew Rasmussen 68.8% No Hit

Maikel Garcia— · vs Joe Ryan 68.4% Hit

Alec Burleson— · vs Freddy Peralta 68.3% No Hit

Josh Naylor— · vs Cam Schlittler 68.2% No Hit

Brice TurangMilwaukee Brewers · vs Drew Rasmussen 68.1% Hit

Trevor Story— · vs Mike Burrows 68.1% No Hit

Gunnar Henderson— · vs Nathan Eovaldi 68.0% No Hit

Paul Goldschmidt— · vs George Kirby 68.0% Hit

Jacob Wilson— · vs Chris Sale 68.0% Hit

Lenyn Sosa— · vs Sandy Alcantara 68.0% No Hit

Tyler Soderstrom— · vs Chris Sale 67.9% No Hit

Alejandro Kirk— · vs Kyle Freeland 67.8% Hit

Luis Arraez— · vs Nick Pivetta 67.8% Hit

What the Model Got Right

Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.

Top Home Run Calls

Juan Soto — 17.1% HR probability
Oneil Cruz — 16.9% HR probability
Corbin Carroll — 16.4% HR probability

Top Strikeout Calls

Matthew Boyd — proj 8.6, recorded 10
Nick Pivetta — proj 7.8, recorded 8
Gavin Williams — proj 6.0, recorded 10

Biggest Surprises

Yoshinobu Yamamoto — proj 9.3, recorded 2
Chris Sale — proj 9.8, recorded 3

Highest Performing Projection — Home Run Projection: Juan Soto. Model HR probability 17.1% — result: Home Run.

Live on EdgeRanked

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