MLB Results — March 29, 2026

MLB Model Results — March 29, 2026

Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.

Top Home Run Threat Results

Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.

#1 Kyle Schwarber— · vs MacKenzie Gore 22.4% No Home Run

#2 Cal Raleigh— · vs Slade Cecconi 20.2% No Home Run

#3 Jo Adell— · vs Tatsuya Imai 19.3% No Home Run

#4 Byron Buxton— · vs Shane Baz 18.0% No Home Run

#5 James Wood— · vs Shota Imanaga 18.0% No Home Run

#6 Junior CamineroTampa Bay Rays · vs Dustin May 17.8% No Home Run

#7 Pete Alonso— · vs Bailey Ober 17.3% No Home Run

#8 Pete Crow-Armstrong— · vs Jake Irvin 17.2% No Home Run

#9 Oneil Cruz— · vs Nolan McLean 17.2% No Home Run

#10 Juan Soto— · vs Carmen Mlodzinski 16.4% No Home Run

#11 Zach Neto— · vs Tatsuya Imai 16.3% Home Run

#12 Mike Trout— · vs Tatsuya Imai 15.9% No Home Run

#13 Hunter Goodman— · vs Max Meyer 15.9% No Home Run

#14 Taylor Ward— · vs Bailey Ober 15.9% No Home Run

#15 George Springer— · vs Luis Morales 15.8% Home Run

Pitcher Strikeout Results

Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.

Nolan McLeanvs Pittsburgh Pirates 9.9 8 -1.9

Eric Lauervs Athletics 9.9 9 -0.9On target

Connelly Earlyvs Cincinnati Reds 9.0 6 -3.0

Jesús Luzardovs Texas Rangers 8.9 7 -1.9

Emerson Hancockvs Cleveland Guardians 8.6 9 +0.4On target

Carmen Mlodzinskivs New York Mets 8.1 8 -0.1On target

Shota Imanagavs Washington Nationals 7.1 7 -0.1On target

MacKenzie Gorevs Philadelphia Phillies 7.0 7 +0.0On target

Max Meyervs Colorado Rockies 6.8 5 -1.8

Shane Bazvs Minnesota Twins 6.5 4 -2.5

Grant Holmesvs Kansas City Royals 6.1 4 -2.1

Steven Matzvs St. Louis Cardinals 6.1 2 -4.1

Rhett Lowdervs Boston Red Sox 6.1 5 -1.1

Tatsuya Imaivs Los Angeles Angels 5.4 4 -1.4

Seth Lugovs Atlanta Braves 5.3 3 -2.3

Hit Probability Results

Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.

Ernie Clement— · vs Luis Morales 71.4% No Hit

Gunnar Henderson— · vs Bailey Ober 70.9% Hit

Josh Naylor— · vs Slade Cecconi 70.8% No Hit

Bo Bichette— · vs Carmen Mlodzinski 70.6% No Hit

Jacob Wilson— · vs Eric Lauer 70.6% Hit

Sal FrelickMilwaukee Brewers · vs Anthony Kay 70.3% Hit

Alec Burleson— · vs Steven Matz 70.2% No Hit

Alec Bohm— · vs MacKenzie Gore 70.2% No Hit

Ryan O'Hearn— · vs Nolan McLean 70.0% Hit

Brice TurangMilwaukee Brewers · vs Anthony Kay 69.8% Hit

Carlos Correa— · vs Jack Kochanowicz 69.6% No Hit

Jose Altuve— · vs Jack Kochanowicz 69.6% Hit

Nico Hoerner— · vs Jake Irvin 69.6% Hit

Maikel Garcia— · vs Grant Holmes 69.4% Hit

Kyle Schwarber— · vs MacKenzie Gore 69.2% Hit

What the Model Got Right

Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.

Top Home Run Calls

Zach Neto — 16.3% HR probability
George Springer — 15.8% HR probability
Brandon Lowe — 14.8% HR probability

Top Strikeout Calls

Emerson Hancock — proj 8.6, recorded 9
MacKenzie Gore — proj 7.0, recorded 7
Slade Cecconi — proj 4.8, recorded 5

Biggest Surprises

Steven Matz — proj 6.1, recorded 2
Connelly Early — proj 9.0, recorded 6

Highest Performing Projection — Home Run Projection: Zach Neto. Model HR probability 16.3% — result: Home Run.

Live on EdgeRanked

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