MLB Results — September 2, 2026

MLB Model Results — September 2, 2026

Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.

Top Home Run Threat Results

Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.

#1 Hunter Goodman— · vs Trevor Rogers 31.7% No Home Run

#2 Coby Mayo— · vs Tomoyuki Sugano 31.4% No Home Run

#3 Heriberto Hernández— · vs Noah Cameron 31.0% No Home Run

#4 Zach Neto— · vs Cam Schlittler 30.3% No Home Run

#5 Kazuma Okamoto— · vs Joey Cantillo 28.6% No Home Run

#6 Jac Caglianone— · vs Eury Pérez 26.6% No Home Run

#7 Brandon Lowe— · vs Landen Roupp 25.4% No Home Run

#8 Pete Alonso— · vs Tomoyuki Sugano 25.2% No Home Run

#9 Kyle Schwarber— · vs Taylor Clarke 25.2% No Home Run

#10 Nolan Gorman— · vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto 25.2% No Home Run

#11 Andrew Benintendi— · vs Hayden Wesneski 25.0% No Home Run

#12 James Wood— · vs Grant Holmes 24.3% No Home Run

#13 Trent Grisham— · vs Reid Detmers 23.9% No Home Run

#14 Shohei Ohtani— · vs Unknown Pitcher 23.9% No Home Run

#15 Jo Adell— · vs Dylan Cease 23.9% No Home Run

Pitcher Strikeout Results

Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.

Cam Schlittlervs Los Angeles Angels 7.8 9 +1.2

Reid Detmersvs New York Yankees 7.4 8 +0.6On target

Jacob Misiorowskivs Chicago Cubs 7.2 5 -2.2

Dylan Ceasevs Cleveland Guardians 6.6 4 -2.6

Griffin Jaxvs New York Mets 6.3 1 -5.3

Yoshinobu Yamamotovs St. Louis Cardinals 6.0 8 +2.0

Noah Cameronvs Miami Marlins 5.6 7 +1.4

Eury Pérezvs Kansas City Royals 5.5 3 -2.5

Jacob Lopezvs Texas Rangers 5.5 7 +1.5

Patrick Sandovalvs Seattle Mariners 5.3 2 -3.3

David Petersonvs Milwaukee Brewers 5.3 4 -1.3

Bryce Millervs Boston Red Sox 5.3 3 -2.3

Landen Rouppvs Pittsburgh Pirates 5.3 4 -1.3

Trevor Rogersvs Colorado Rockies 5.3 11 +5.7

Dean Kremervs Detroit Tigers 5.3 5 -0.3On target

Hit Probability Results

Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.

Fernando Tatis Jr.— · vs Brandon Williamson 64.4% Hit

Bryce Harper— · vs Taylor Clarke 62.5% Hit

Gunnar Henderson— · vs Tomoyuki Sugano 62.2% No Hit

Pete Alonso— · vs Tomoyuki Sugano 62.1% Hit

Rafael Devers— · vs Bubba Chandler 62.1% Hit

Shohei Ohtani— · vs Unknown Pitcher 61.8% No Hit

Elly De La Cruz— · vs Casey Mize 61.7% Hit

Kyle Schwarber— · vs Taylor Clarke 61.6% No Hit

Oneil Cruz— · vs Landen Roupp 61.5% Hit

Samad Taylor— · vs Brandon Williamson 61.4% No Hit

Jackson Merrill— · vs Brandon Williamson 61.4% No Hit

TJ Rumfield— · vs Trevor Rogers 61.4% Hit

Yordan Alvarez— · vs Davis Martin 61.2% Hit

Juan Soto— · vs Griffin Jax 61.0% Hit

Randy Arozarena— · vs Patrick Sandoval 60.9% Hit

What the Model Got Right

Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.

Top Home Run Calls

Salvador Perez — 23.9% HR probability
Rafael Devers — 18.8% HR probability
Kyle Stowers — 18.6% HR probability

Top Strikeout Calls

Cam Schlittler — proj 7.8, recorded 9
Reid Detmers — proj 7.4, recorded 8
Yoshinobu Yamamoto — proj 6.0, recorded 8

Biggest Surprises

Trevor Rogers — proj 5.3, recorded 11
Griffin Jax — proj 6.3, recorded 1

Highest Performing Projection — Home Run Projection: Salvador Perez. Model HR probability 23.9% — result: Home Run.

Live on EdgeRanked

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