MLB Results — June 9, 2026

MLB Model Results — June 9, 2026

Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.

Top Home Run Threat Results

Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.

#1 Byron Buxton— · vs Troy Melton 18.4% Home Run

#2 Hunter Goodman— · vs Colin Rea 18.4% Home Run

#3 Yordan Alvarez— · vs Walbert Ureña 18.0% No Home Run

#4 Christian Walker— · vs Walbert Ureña 17.8% No Home Run

#5 Shohei Ohtani— · vs Paul Skenes 17.5% No Home Run

#6 Juan Soto— · vs Dustin May 17.5% No Home Run

#7 Nick Kurtz— · vs Robert Gasser 17.5% Home Run

#8 Kyle Schwarber— · vs Dylan Cease 17.3% No Home Run

#9 Tyler Soderstrom— · vs Robert Gasser 17.0% Home Run

#10 Shea Langeliers— · vs Robert Gasser 17.0% No Home Run

#11 Bryce Harper— · vs Dylan Cease 16.8% No Home Run

#12 Brandon Lowe— · vs Eric Lauer 16.4% No Home Run

#13 Seiya Suzuki— · vs Tomoyuki Sugano 16.3% No Home Run

#14 Pete Alonso— · vs Logan Gilbert 15.9% No Home Run

#15 Ian Happ— · vs Tomoyuki Sugano 15.6% No Home Run

Pitcher Strikeout Results

Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.

Max Meyervs Arizona Diamondbacks 7.6 5 -2.6

Chase Burnsvs San Diego Padres 7.5 7 -0.5On target

Dylan Ceasevs Philadelphia Phillies 6.9 11 +4.1

Payton Tollevs Tampa Bay Rays 6.6 3 -3.6

Gerrit Colevs Cleveland Guardians 6.3 4 -2.3

Nathan Eovaldivs Kansas City Royals 6.3 3 -3.3

Zack Wheelervs Toronto Blue Jays 6.3 5 -1.3

Andrew Alvarezvs San Francisco Giants 6.1 4 -2.1

Dustin Mayvs New York Mets 6.1 6 -0.1On target

Taj Bradleyvs Detroit Tigers 5.9 3 -2.9

Walbert Ureñavs Houston Astros 5.9 7 +1.1

Paul Skenesvs Los Angeles Dodgers 5.7 7 +1.3

Logan Gilbertvs Baltimore Orioles 5.6 5 -0.6On target

Stephen Kolekvs Texas Rangers 5.4 3 -2.4

Grant Holmesvs Chicago White Sox 5.4 2 -3.4

Hit Probability Results

Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.

Byron Buxton— · vs Troy Melton 65.0% Hit

Hunter Goodman— · vs Colin Rea 65.0% Hit

Christian Walker— · vs Walbert Ureña 65.0% No Hit

Brandon Lowe— · vs Eric Lauer 65.0% No Hit

Ian Happ— · vs Tomoyuki Sugano 65.0% No Hit

Michael Busch— · vs Tomoyuki Sugano 65.0% Hit

Michael Conforto— · vs Tomoyuki Sugano 65.0% No Hit

CJ Abrams— · vs Adrian Houser 65.0% Hit

Dansby Swanson— · vs Tomoyuki Sugano 65.0% Hit

Miguel Amaya— · vs Tomoyuki Sugano 65.0% No Hit

Ben Rice— · vs Slade Cecconi 65.0% No Hit

Christian Vázquez— · vs Walbert Ureña 65.0% No Hit

Yordan Alvarez— · vs Walbert Ureña 64.7% Hit

Julio Rodríguez— · vs Trevor Rogers 64.7% Hit

Fernando Tatis Jr.— · vs Chase Burns 64.0% Hit

What the Model Got Right

Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.

Top Home Run Calls

Byron Buxton — 18.4% HR probability
Hunter Goodman — 18.4% HR probability
Nick Kurtz — 17.5% HR probability

Top Strikeout Calls

Dylan Cease — proj 6.9, recorded 11
Walbert Ureña — proj 5.9, recorded 7
Paul Skenes — proj 5.7, recorded 7

Biggest Surprises

Dylan Cease — proj 6.9, recorded 11
Payton Tolle — proj 6.6, recorded 3

Highest Performing Projection — Home Run Projection: Byron Buxton. Model HR probability 18.4% — result: Home Run.

Live on EdgeRanked

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