MLB Results

MLB Model Results — June 8, 2026

Home run threat, strikeout, and hit probability results for this MLB slate.

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Slate Summary

MLB Model Results — June 8, 2026

Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.

8
Games covered
208
Hitters evaluated
16
Pitchers evaluated
June 8, 2026
Slate date
Home Run Threats

Top Home Run Threat Results

Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.

RankPlayerTeamMatchupHR ProbabilityResult
#1Yordan Alvarez—vs Grayson Rodriguez18.4%No Home Run
#2Kyle SchwarberPhiladelphia Philliesvs Patrick Corbin17.9%No Home Run
#3Christian WalkerHouston Astrosvs Grayson Rodriguez17.4%No Home Run
#4Brent RookerAthleticsvs Kyle Harrison17.1%No Home Run
#5Pete AlonsoBaltimore Oriolesvs Emerson Hancock17.1%No Home Run
#6Bryce HarperPhiladelphia Philliesvs Patrick Corbin17.0%No Home Run
#7Tyler Soderstrom—vs Kyle Harrison16.9%Home Run
#8Rafael Devers—vs Miles Mikolas16.2%No Home Run
#9Mike TroutLos Angeles Angelsvs Spencer Arrighetti15.7%No Home Run
#10Junior CamineroTampa Bay Raysvs Connelly Early15.5%No Home Run
#11Fernando Tatis Jr.San Diego Padresvs Andrew Abbott15.4%No Home Run
#12Shea LangeliersAthleticsvs Kyle Harrison15.0%Home Run
#13Vladimir Guerrero Jr.—vs Cristopher Sánchez14.0%No Home Run
#14José Ramírez—vs Will Warren13.6%No Home Run
#15Nick KurtzAthleticsvs Kyle Harrison13.0%Home Run
Strikeouts

Pitcher Strikeout Results

Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.

PitcherOpponentProjected KsActual KsDifference
Gavin WilliamsNew York Yankees7.55-2.5
Kyle HarrisonAthletics7.24-3.2
Cristopher SánchezToronto Blue Jays7.010+3.0
Will WarrenCleveland Guardians6.25-1.2
Connelly EarlyTampa Bay Rays5.86+0.2On Target
Emerson HancockBaltimore Orioles5.63-2.6
Logan WebbWashington Nationals5.57+1.5
Spencer ArrighettiLos Angeles Angels5.27+1.8
Walker BuehlerCincinnati Reds4.84-0.8On Target
Jeffrey SpringsMilwaukee Brewers4.63-1.6
Grayson RodriguezHouston Astros4.46+1.6
Andrew AbbottSan Diego Padres4.36+1.7
Miles MikolasSan Francisco Giants3.82-1.8
Patrick CorbinPhiladelphia Phillies3.83-0.8On Target
Ian SeymourBoston Red Sox1.25+3.8
Hit Probability

Hit Probability Results

Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.

PlayerTeamMatchupHit ProbabilityResult
Christian WalkerHouston Astrosvs Grayson Rodriguez65.0%Hit
Junior CamineroTampa Bay Raysvs Connelly Early65.0%Hit
Yordan Alvarez—vs Grayson Rodriguez65.0%No Hit
Bryce HarperPhiladelphia Philliesvs Patrick Corbin64.0%No Hit
Fernando Tatis Jr.San Diego Padresvs Andrew Abbott64.0%No Hit
Kyle SchwarberPhiladelphia Philliesvs Patrick Corbin64.0%Hit
Alec Bohm—vs Patrick Corbin63.3%Hit
J.T. Realmuto—vs Patrick Corbin63.0%Hit
Brandon Marsh—vs Patrick Corbin63.0%No Hit
Gavin Sheets—vs Andrew Abbott63.0%Hit
Mike TroutLos Angeles Angelsvs Spencer Arrighetti62.7%No Hit
Jackson Merrill—vs Andrew Abbott62.7%No Hit
Adolis GarcíaPhiladelphia Philliesvs Patrick Corbin62.7%Hit
Casey SchmittSan Francisco Giantsvs Miles Mikolas62.7%Hit
Bryson Stott—vs Patrick Corbin62.7%Hit
Model Highlights

What the Model Got Right

Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.

Top Home Run Calls

  • Tyler Soderstrom — 16.9% HR probability
  • Shea Langeliers — 15.0% HR probability
  • Nick Kurtz — 13.0% HR probability

Top Strikeout Calls

  • Cristopher Sánchez — proj 7.0, recorded 10
  • Connelly Early — proj 5.8, recorded 6
  • Logan Webb — proj 5.5, recorded 7

Biggest Surprises

  • Ian Seymour — proj 1.2, recorded 5
  • Kyle Harrison — proj 7.2, recorded 4
Highest Performing Projection — Home Run Projection: Tyler Soderstrom. Model HR probability 16.9% — result: Home Run.
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