Slate Summary
MLB Model Results — June 8, 2026
Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.
8
Games covered
208
Hitters evaluated
16
Pitchers evaluated
June 8, 2026
Slate date
Home Run Threats
Top Home Run Threat Results
Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.
| Rank | Player | Team | Matchup | HR Probability | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Yordan Alvarez | Houston Astros | vs Grayson Rodriguez | 18.4% | No Home Run |
| #2 | Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies | vs Patrick Corbin | 17.9% | No Home Run |
| #3 | Christian Walker | — | vs Grayson Rodriguez | 17.4% | No Home Run |
| #4 | Brent Rooker | — | vs Kyle Harrison | 17.1% | No Home Run |
| #5 | Pete Alonso | — | vs Emerson Hancock | 17.1% | No Home Run |
| #6 | Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | vs Patrick Corbin | 17.0% | No Home Run |
| #7 | Tyler Soderstrom | Athletics | vs Kyle Harrison | 16.9% | Home Run |
| #8 | Rafael Devers | San Francisco Giants | vs Miles Mikolas | 16.2% | No Home Run |
| #9 | Mike Trout | — | vs Spencer Arrighetti | 15.7% | No Home Run |
| #10 | Junior Caminero | Tampa Bay Rays | vs Connelly Early | 15.5% | No Home Run |
| #11 | Fernando Tatis Jr. | San Diego Padres | vs Andrew Abbott | 15.4% | No Home Run |
| #12 | Shea Langeliers | Athletics | vs Kyle Harrison | 15.0% | Home Run |
| #13 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | — | vs Cristopher Sánchez | 14.0% | No Home Run |
| #14 | José Ramírez | Cleveland Guardians | vs Will Warren | 13.6% | No Home Run |
| #15 | Nick Kurtz | — | vs Kyle Harrison | 13.0% | Home Run |
Strikeouts
Pitcher Strikeout Results
Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.
| Pitcher | Opponent | Projected Ks | Actual Ks | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Williams | New York Yankees | 7.5 | 5 | -2.5 | |
| Kyle Harrison | Athletics | 7.2 | 4 | -3.2 | |
| Cristopher Sánchez | Toronto Blue Jays | 7.0 | 10 | +3.0 | |
| Will Warren | Cleveland Guardians | 6.2 | 5 | -1.2 | |
| Connelly Early | Tampa Bay Rays | 5.8 | 6 | +0.2 | On Target |
| Emerson Hancock | Baltimore Orioles | 5.6 | 3 | -2.6 | |
| Logan Webb | Washington Nationals | 5.5 | 7 | +1.5 | |
| Spencer Arrighetti | Los Angeles Angels | 5.2 | 7 | +1.8 | |
| Walker Buehler | Cincinnati Reds | 4.8 | 4 | -0.8 | On Target |
| Jeffrey Springs | Milwaukee Brewers | 4.6 | 3 | -1.6 | |
| Grayson Rodriguez | Houston Astros | 4.4 | 6 | +1.6 | |
| Andrew Abbott | San Diego Padres | 4.3 | 6 | +1.7 | |
| Miles Mikolas | San Francisco Giants | 3.8 | 2 | -1.8 | |
| Patrick Corbin | Philadelphia Phillies | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 | On Target |
| Ian Seymour | Boston Red Sox | 1.2 | 5 | +3.8 |
Hit Probability
Hit Probability Results
Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.
| Player | Team | Matchup | Hit Probability | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker | — | vs Grayson Rodriguez | 65.0% | Hit |
| Junior Caminero | Tampa Bay Rays | vs Connelly Early | 65.0% | Hit |
| Yordan Alvarez | Houston Astros | vs Grayson Rodriguez | 65.0% | No Hit |
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | vs Patrick Corbin | 64.0% | No Hit |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | San Diego Padres | vs Andrew Abbott | 64.0% | No Hit |
| Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies | vs Patrick Corbin | 64.0% | Hit |
| Alec Bohm | — | vs Patrick Corbin | 63.3% | Hit |
| J.T. Realmuto | Philadelphia Phillies | vs Patrick Corbin | 63.0% | Hit |
| Brandon Marsh | Philadelphia Phillies | vs Patrick Corbin | 63.0% | No Hit |
| Gavin Sheets | — | vs Andrew Abbott | 63.0% | Hit |
| Mike Trout | — | vs Spencer Arrighetti | 62.7% | No Hit |
| Jackson Merrill | San Diego Padres | vs Andrew Abbott | 62.7% | No Hit |
| Adolis García | — | vs Patrick Corbin | 62.7% | Hit |
| Casey Schmitt | — | vs Miles Mikolas | 62.7% | Hit |
| Bryson Stott | — | vs Patrick Corbin | 62.7% | Hit |
Model Highlights
What the Model Got Right
Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.
Top Home Run Calls
- Tyler Soderstrom — 16.9% HR probability
- Shea Langeliers — 15.0% HR probability
- Nick Kurtz — 13.0% HR probability
Top Strikeout Calls
- Cristopher Sánchez — proj 7.0, recorded 10
- Connelly Early — proj 5.8, recorded 6
- Logan Webb — proj 5.5, recorded 7
Biggest Surprises
- Ian Seymour — proj 1.2, recorded 5
- Kyle Harrison — proj 7.2, recorded 4
Highest Performing Projection — Home Run Projection: Tyler Soderstrom. Model HR probability 16.9% — result: Home Run.
Explore More