MLB Results — June 5, 2026

MLB Model Results — June 5, 2026

Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.

Top Home Run Threat Results

Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.

#1 Hunter Goodman— · vs Brandon Sproat 18.4% Home Run

#2 Juan Soto— · vs Michael King 18.3% No Home Run

#3 Byron Buxton— · vs Michael Wacha 17.9% No Home Run

#4 Shohei Ohtani— · vs Unknown Pitcher 17.9% No Home Run

#5 Shea Langeliers— · vs Peter Lambert 17.7% No Home Run

#6 Kyle Schwarber— · vs Anthony Kay 17.5% No Home Run

#7 Colson Montgomery— · vs Jesús Luzardo 16.7% No Home Run

#8 Bryce Harper— · vs Anthony Kay 16.7% No Home Run

#9 Rafael Devers— · vs Edward Cabrera 16.6% No Home Run

#10 Christian Walker— · vs Jack Perkins 16.5% No Home Run

#11 Brent Rooker— · vs Peter Lambert 16.4% Home Run

#12 Nick Kurtz— · vs Peter Lambert 16.4% No Home Run

#13 Oneil Cruz— · vs Martín Pérez 16.3% No Home Run

#14 Brandon Lowe— · vs Martín Pérez 16.2% No Home Run

#15 Max Muncy— · vs Unknown Pitcher 15.9% No Home Run

Pitcher Strikeout Results

Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.

Jesús Luzardovs Chicago White Sox 6.9 2 -4.9

Ryan Weathersvs Boston Red Sox 6.9 4 -2.9

Bryan Woovs Detroit Tigers 6.4 7 +0.6On target

Zebby Matthewsvs Kansas City Royals 6.3 2 -4.3

Michael Wachavs Minnesota Twins 6.3 2 -4.3

Drew Rasmussenvs Miami Marlins 6.1 9 +2.9

Roki Sasakivs Los Angeles Angels 6.0 10 +4.0

Christian Scottvs San Diego Padres 6.0 3 -3.0

Foster Griffinvs Arizona Diamondbacks 5.9 4 -1.9

Martín Pérezvs Pittsburgh Pirates 5.8 5 -0.8On target

Peter Lambertvs Athletics 5.8 4 -1.8

Michael Kingvs New York Mets 5.6 4 -1.6

Trey Yesavagevs Baltimore Orioles 5.5 5 -0.5On target

Parker Messickvs Texas Rangers 5.5 4 -1.5

Mitch Kellervs Atlanta Braves 4.8 4 -0.8On target

Hit Probability Results

Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.

Hunter Goodman— · vs Brandon Sproat 65.0% Hit

Brandon Lowe— · vs Martín Pérez 65.0% No Hit

Julio Rodríguez— · vs Framber Valdez 65.0% Hit

Andrew VaughnMilwaukee Brewers · vs Ryan Feltner 65.0% Hit

Brice TurangMilwaukee Brewers · vs Ryan Feltner 65.0% Hit

Alec Burleson— · vs Brady Singer 65.0% Hit

Casey Schmitt— · vs Edward Cabrera 65.0% Hit

Derek Hill— · vs Jesús Luzardo 65.0% Hit

Brayan Rocchio— · vs Kumar Rocker 65.0% No Hit

Jordan Walker— · vs Brady Singer 64.7% Hit

Ian Happ— · vs Robbie Ray 64.7% No Hit

CJ Abrams— · vs Merrill Kelly 64.7% Hit

Christian Walker— · vs Jack Perkins 64.3% Hit

Garrett MitchellMilwaukee Brewers · vs Ryan Feltner 64.3% Hit

Angel Martínez— · vs Kumar Rocker 64.3% No Hit

What the Model Got Right

Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.

Top Home Run Calls

Hunter Goodman — 18.4% HR probability
Brent Rooker — 16.4% HR probability
James Wood — 13.3% HR probability

Top Strikeout Calls

Bryan Woo — proj 6.4, recorded 7
Drew Rasmussen — proj 6.1, recorded 9
Roki Sasaki — proj 6.0, recorded 10

Biggest Surprises

Jesús Luzardo — proj 6.9, recorded 2
Jack Perkins — proj 1.4, recorded 6

Highest Performing Projection — Home Run Projection: Hunter Goodman. Model HR probability 18.4% — result: Home Run.

Live on EdgeRanked

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