MLB Results

MLB Model Results — June 6, 2026

Home run threat, strikeout, and hit probability results for this MLB slate.

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Slate Summary

MLB Model Results — June 6, 2026

Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.

15
Games covered
390
Hitters evaluated
29
Pitchers evaluated
June 6, 2026
Slate date
Home Run Threats

Top Home Run Threat Results

Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.

RankPlayerTeamMatchupHR ProbabilityResult
#1Hunter GoodmanColorado Rockiesvs Jacob Misiorowski18.4%No Home Run
#2Kyle SchwarberPhiladelphia Philliesvs Brandon Eisert17.9%No Home Run
#3Juan SotoNew York Metsvs Griffin Canning17.5%No Home Run
#4Pete AlonsoBaltimore Oriolesvs Unknown Pitcher17.5%Home Run
#5Shohei OhtaniLos Angeles Dodgersvs Jack Kochanowicz17.5%Home Run
#6Bryce HarperPhiladelphia Philliesvs Brandon Eisert17.1%No Home Run
#7Brandon LowePittsburgh Piratesvs Spencer Strider17.0%No Home Run
#8Christian WalkerHouston Astrosvs Kade Morris17.0%No Home Run
#9Tyler Soderstrom—vs Tatsuya Imai16.8%No Home Run
#10Nick KurtzAthleticsvs Tatsuya Imai16.8%No Home Run
#11Mike TroutLos Angeles Angelsvs Yoshinobu Yamamoto16.7%No Home Run
#12Brent RookerAthleticsvs Tatsuya Imai16.7%No Home Run
#13Max MuncyLos Angeles Dodgersvs Jack Kochanowicz16.0%No Home Run
#14Colson MontgomeryChicago White Soxvs Andrew Painter15.8%Home Run
#15Shea LangeliersAthleticsvs Tatsuya Imai15.0%No Home Run
Strikeouts

Pitcher Strikeout Results

Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.

PitcherOpponentProjected KsActual KsDifference
Braxton AshcraftAtlanta Braves7.85-2.8
Nolan McLeanSan Diego Padres7.55-2.5
Joe RyanKansas City Royals7.45-2.4
Jacob MisiorowskiColorado Rockies6.98+1.1
Yoshinobu YamamotoLos Angeles Angels6.54-2.5
Spencer StriderPittsburgh Pirates6.53-3.5
Bryce MillerDetroit Tigers6.49+2.6
Ben BrownSan Francisco Giants6.35-1.3
Kade MorrisHouston Astros6.24-2.2
Shane McClanahanMiami Marlins5.96+0.1On Target
Jack LeiterCleveland Guardians5.92-3.9
Tanner BibeeTexas Rangers5.53-2.5
Kyle BradishToronto Blue Jays5.53-2.5
Landen RouppChicago Cubs5.45-0.4On Target
Matthew LiberatoreCincinnati Reds5.34-1.3
Hit Probability

Hit Probability Results

Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.

PlayerTeamMatchupHit ProbabilityResult
Hunter GoodmanColorado Rockiesvs Jacob Misiorowski65.0%No Hit
Brandon LowePittsburgh Piratesvs Spencer Strider65.0%No Hit
Christian WalkerHouston Astrosvs Kade Morris65.0%Hit
CJ AbramsWashington Nationalsvs Eduardo Rodriguez65.0%No Hit
Andrew Vaughn—vs Unknown Pitcher65.0%Hit
Alex Call—vs Jack Kochanowicz65.0%No Hit
Dominic Canzone—vs Keider Montero65.0%Hit
Alec Burleson—vs Nick Lodolo65.0%Hit
David Hamilton—vs Unknown Pitcher64.0%Hit
Mike TroutLos Angeles Angelsvs Yoshinobu Yamamoto63.7%No Hit
Tyler Soderstrom—vs Tatsuya Imai63.7%Hit
Derek Hill—vs Andrew Painter63.7%No Hit
Curtis Mead—vs Eduardo Rodriguez63.7%Hit
Shea LangeliersAthleticsvs Tatsuya Imai63.3%Hit
Christian Yelich—vs Unknown Pitcher63.3%Hit
Model Highlights

What the Model Got Right

Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.

Top Home Run Calls

  • Pete Alonso — 17.5% HR probability
  • Shohei Ohtani — 17.5% HR probability
  • Colson Montgomery — 15.8% HR probability

Top Strikeout Calls

  • Jacob Misiorowski — proj 6.9, recorded 8
  • Bryce Miller — proj 6.4, recorded 9
  • Shane McClanahan — proj 5.9, recorded 6

Biggest Surprises

  • Jack Leiter — proj 5.9, recorded 2
  • Keider Montero — proj 4.7, recorded 1
Highest Performing Projection — Home Run Projection: Pete Alonso. Model HR probability 17.5% — result: Home Run.
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