MLB Model Results — June 6, 2026
Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.
Top Home Run Threat Results
Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.
Pitcher Strikeout Results
Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.
Hit Probability Results
Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.
What the Model Got Right
Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.
Top Home Run Calls
- Pete Alonso — 17.5% HR probability
- Shohei Ohtani — 17.5% HR probability
- Colson Montgomery — 15.8% HR probability
Top Strikeout Calls
- Jacob Misiorowski — proj 6.9, recorded 8
- Bryce Miller — proj 6.4, recorded 9
- Shane McClanahan — proj 5.9, recorded 6
Biggest Surprises
- Jack Leiter — proj 5.9, recorded 2
- Keider Montero — proj 4.7, recorded 1
Highest Performing Projection — Home Run Projection: Pete Alonso. Model HR probability 17.5% — result: Home Run.
See today's slate the same way
This is a graded past slate. EdgeRanked publishes the same home run, strikeout, and hit probability analysis for today's games before first pitch.
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