MLB Results — June 4, 2026

MLB Model Results — June 4, 2026

Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.

Top Home Run Threat Results

Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.

#1 Yordan Alvarez— · vs Jared Jones 18.4% No Home Run

#2 Pete Alonso— · vs Brayan Bello 17.5% No Home Run

#3 Byron Buxton— · vs Seth Lugo 17.5% Home Run

#4 Kyle Schwarber— · vs Lucas Giolito 17.5% No Home Run

#5 Bryce Harper— · vs Lucas Giolito 17.1% No Home Run

#6 Tyler Soderstrom— · vs Shota Imanaga 16.7% Home Run

#7 Shea Langeliers— · vs Shota Imanaga 16.6% Home Run

#8 Christian Walker— · vs Jared Jones 16.6% No Home Run

#9 Rafael Devers— · vs Coleman Crow 16.4% No Home Run

#10 Brandon Lowe— · vs Kai-Wei Teng 16.4% No Home Run

#11 José Ramírez— · vs Carlos Rodón 16.0% No Home Run

#12 Max Muncy— · vs Ryne Nelson 15.9% No Home Run

#13 Fernando Tatis Jr.— · vs Zack Wheeler 15.3% No Home Run

#14 Nick Kurtz— · vs Shota Imanaga 15.2% No Home Run

#15 Gunnar Henderson— · vs Brayan Bello 14.8% No Home Run

Pitcher Strikeout Results

Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.

Chris Salevs Toronto Blue Jays 7.0 6 -1.0

Shota Imanagavs Athletics 6.8 5 -1.8

Zack Wheelervs San Diego Padres 6.5 8 +1.5

Seth Lugovs Minnesota Twins 6.2 4 -2.2

Kai-Wei Tengvs Pittsburgh Pirates 5.9 1 -4.9

J.T. Ginnvs Chicago Cubs 5.3 8 +2.7

Ryne Nelsonvs Los Angeles Dodgers 5.1 3 -2.1

Jared Jonesvs Houston Astros 5.0 4 -1.0

Carlos Rodónvs Cleveland Guardians 4.9 7 +2.1

Justin Wrobleskivs Arizona Diamondbacks 4.7 4 -0.7On target

Slade Cecconivs New York Yankees 4.6 4 -0.6On target

Brayan Bellovs Baltimore Orioles 4.6 4 -0.6On target

Adrian Houservs Milwaukee Brewers 3.8 5 +1.2

Trevor Rogersvs Boston Red Sox 3.7 3 -0.7On target

Coleman Crowvs San Francisco Giants 2.9 2 -0.9On target

Hit Probability Results

Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.

Brandon Lowe— · vs Kai-Wei Teng 65.0% Hit

Max Muncy— · vs Ryne Nelson 65.0% Hit

Freddie Freeman— · vs Ryne Nelson 65.0% No Hit

Bryce Eldridge— · vs Coleman Crow 65.0% Hit

Ben Rice— · vs Slade Cecconi 65.0% No Hit

Casey Schmitt— · vs Coleman Crow 64.7% Hit

Andrew VaughnMilwaukee Brewers · vs Adrian Houser 64.7% No Hit

Garrett MitchellMilwaukee Brewers · vs Adrian Houser 64.3% No Hit

David Fry— · vs Carlos Rodón 64.3% No Hit

Taylor Ward— · vs Brayan Bello 64.0% Hit

Fernando Tatis Jr.— · vs Zack Wheeler 64.0% No Hit

Andy Pages— · vs Ryne Nelson 63.7% No Hit

Kyle Manzardo— · vs Carlos Rodón 63.7% No Hit

Cody Bellinger— · vs Slade Cecconi 63.3% Hit

Corbin Carroll— · vs Justin Wrobleski 63.0% Hit

What the Model Got Right

Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.

Top Home Run Calls

Byron Buxton — 17.5% HR probability
Tyler Soderstrom — 16.7% HR probability
Shea Langeliers — 16.6% HR probability

Top Strikeout Calls

Zack Wheeler — proj 6.5, recorded 8
J.T. Ginn — proj 5.3, recorded 8
Carlos Rodón — proj 4.9, recorded 7

Biggest Surprises

Kai-Wei Teng — proj 5.9, recorded 1
J.T. Ginn — proj 5.3, recorded 8

Highest Performing Projection — Home Run Projection: Byron Buxton. Model HR probability 17.5% — result: Home Run.

Live on EdgeRanked

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