MLB Results — April 3, 2026

MLB Model Results — April 3, 2026

Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.

Top Home Run Threat Results

Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.

#1 Brandon Lowe— · vs Kyle Bradish 13.8% No Home Run

#2 Shea Langeliers— · vs Cristian Javier 13.2% No Home Run

#3 Chase DeLauter— · vs Cade Horton 13.1% Home Run

#4 Brice TurangMilwaukee Brewers · vs Luinder Avila 12.7% No Home Run

#5 Gary Sánchez— · vs Luinder Avila 12.7% No Home Run

#6 Josh Bell— · vs Joe Boyle 12.6% No Home Run

#7 Ben Rice— · vs Eury Pérez 12.4% Home Run

#8 Liam Hicks— · vs Will Warren 12.0% No Home Run

#9 Konnor Griffin— · vs Kyle Bradish 11.8% No Home Run

#10 Dillon Dingler— · vs Michael McGreevy 11.7% Home Run

#11 Christian Vázquez— · vs Jeffrey Springs 11.6% No Home Run

#12 Wilyer Abreu— · vs Michael King 11.4% No Home Run

#13 Ian Happ— · vs Joey Cantillo 11.4% No Home Run

#14 Jake BauersMilwaukee Brewers · vs Luinder Avila 11.4% No Home Run

#15 Kyle Schwarber— · vs Michael Lorenzen 11.3% Home Run

Pitcher Strikeout Results

Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.

Bryan Woovs Los Angeles Angels 6.1 6 -0.1On target

Dylan Ceasevs Chicago White Sox 5.7 6 +0.3On target

MacKenzie Gorevs Cincinnati Reds 5.4 9 +3.6

Aaron Nolavs Colorado Rockies 5.2 9 +3.8

Kyle Bradishvs Pittsburgh Pirates 5.1 6 +0.9On target

Nolan McLeanvs San Francisco Giants 5.0 4 -1.0

Joe Boylevs Minnesota Twins 4.9 9 +4.1

Eury Pérezvs New York Yankees 4.8 4 -0.8On target

Michael Kingvs Boston Red Sox 4.8 5 +0.2On target

Framber Valdezvs St. Louis Cardinals 4.6 5 +0.4On target

Sonny Grayvs San Diego Padres 4.2 3 -1.2

Cristian Javiervs Athletics 4.1 2 -2.1

Mitch Kellervs Baltimore Orioles 4.1 4 -0.1On target

Emmet Sheehanvs Washington Nationals 4.0 2 -2.0

Joey Cantillovs Chicago Cubs 4.0 6 +2.0

Hit Probability Results

Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.

Dylan Moore— · vs Michael Lorenzen 68.8% No Hit

TJ Friedl— · vs MacKenzie Gore 68.8% No Hit

Otto Kemp— · vs Michael Lorenzen 68.0% No Hit

Jonny DeLucaTampa Bay Rays · vs Bailey Ober 67.2% No Hit

Leody Taveras— · vs Mitch Keller 67.2% No Hit

Coby Mayo— · vs Mitch Keller 66.8% No Hit

Ryan ViladeTampa Bay Rays · vs Bailey Ober 66.5% No Hit

Jake Mangum— · vs Kyle Bradish 66.3% No Hit

Austin Martin— · vs Joe Boyle 65.4% No Hit

James Outman— · vs Joe Boyle 64.7% No Hit

Ryan O'Hearn— · vs Kyle Bradish 58.4% No Hit

Brice TurangMilwaukee Brewers · vs Luinder Avila 58.4% Hit

Konnor Griffin— · vs Kyle Bradish 58.2% Hit

Drake Baldwin— · vs Eduardo Rodriguez 57.9% Hit

Brendan Donovan— · vs Reid Detmers 57.8% No Hit

What the Model Got Right

Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.

Top Home Run Calls

Chase DeLauter — 13.1% HR probability
Ben Rice — 12.4% HR probability
Dillon Dingler — 11.7% HR probability

Top Strikeout Calls

Dylan Cease — proj 5.7, recorded 6
MacKenzie Gore — proj 5.4, recorded 9
Aaron Nola — proj 5.2, recorded 9

Biggest Surprises

Joe Boyle — proj 4.9, recorded 9
Aaron Nola — proj 5.2, recorded 9

Highest Performing Projection — Home Run Projection: Chase DeLauter. Model HR probability 13.1% — result: Home Run.

Live on EdgeRanked

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