Slate Summary
MLB Model Results — August 6, 2026
Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.
11
Games covered
295
Hitters evaluated
22
Pitchers evaluated
August 6, 2026
Slate date
Home Run Threats
Top Home Run Threat Results
Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded home run projections are available for this slate.
Strikeouts
Pitcher Strikeout Results
Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.
| Pitcher | Opponent | Projected Ks | Actual Ks | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Cease | Chicago Cubs | 8.5 | 10 | +1.5 | |
| Nolan McLean | Cleveland Guardians | 6.4 | 8 | +1.6 | |
| Cristopher Sánchez | Washington Nationals | 6.4 | 6 | -0.4 | On Target |
| Braxton Ashcraft | Milwaukee Brewers | 5.7 | 5 | -0.7 | On Target |
| Ranger Suarez | Chicago White Sox | 5.6 | 3 | -2.6 | |
| Dustin May | Pittsburgh Pirates | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 | On Target |
| Bryce Miller | Detroit Tigers | 5.2 | 5 | -0.2 | On Target |
| Foster Griffin | New York Mets | 5.1 | 6 | +0.9 | On Target |
| Michael Wacha | Minnesota Twins | 5.0 | 1 | -4.0 | |
| Framber Valdez | Seattle Mariners | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 | On Target |
| Brandon Young | Los Angeles Angels | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 | On Target |
| David Peterson | Toronto Blue Jays | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 | |
| Bailey Ober | Kansas City Royals | 4.5 | 0 | -4.5 | |
| Janson Junk | Atlanta Braves | 4.4 | 1 | -3.4 | |
| Luis Castillo | Boston Red Sox | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 | On Target |
Hit Probability
Hit Probability Results
Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded hit projections are available for this slate.
Model Highlights
What the Model Got Right
Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.
Top Strikeout Calls
- Dylan Cease — proj 8.5, recorded 10
- Nolan McLean — proj 6.4, recorded 8
- Foster Griffin — proj 5.1, recorded 6
Biggest Surprises
- Bailey Ober — proj 4.5, recorded 0
- Michael Wacha — proj 5.0, recorded 1
Highest Performing Projection — Strikeout Projection: Dylan Cease. Projected 8.5 strikeouts — recorded 10.
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