MLB Results — August 6, 2026

MLB Model Results — August 6, 2026

Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.

Top Home Run Threat Results

Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.

#1 Coby Mayo— · vs Ryan Johnson 31.1% No Home Run

#2 Kazuma Okamoto— · vs David Peterson 31.0% No Home Run

#3 Brandon Lowe— · vs Dustin May 30.6% Home Run

#4 Jahmai Jones— · vs Luis Castillo 30.1% No Home Run

#5 Jac Caglianone— · vs Bailey Ober 27.9% No Home Run

#6 Kyle Schwarber— · vs Miles Mikolas 26.2% No Home Run

#7 Michael Conforto— · vs Dylan Cease 25.0% No Home Run

#8 Salvador Perez— · vs Bailey Ober 24.4% No Home Run

#9 Pete Alonso— · vs Ryan Johnson 24.3% No Home Run

#10 Francisco Lindor— · vs Foster Griffin 23.9% Home Run

#11 Pete Crow-Armstrong— · vs Dylan Cease 23.9% No Home Run

#12 Heriberto Hernández— · vs Martín Pérez 23.9% No Home Run

#13 Andrew Benintendi— · vs Ranger Suarez 23.9% No Home Run

#14 Carter Jensen— · vs Bailey Ober 23.9% No Home Run

#15 Munetaka Murakami— · vs Ranger Suarez 23.8% No Home Run

Pitcher Strikeout Results

Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.

Dylan Ceasevs Chicago Cubs 8.5 10 +1.5

Nolan McLeanvs Cleveland Guardians 6.4 8 +1.6

Cristopher Sánchezvs Washington Nationals 6.4 6 -0.4On target

Braxton Ashcraftvs Milwaukee Brewers 5.7 5 -0.7On target

Ranger Suarezvs Chicago White Sox 5.6 3 -2.6

Dustin Mayvs Pittsburgh Pirates 5.3 5 -0.3On target

Bryce Millervs Detroit Tigers 5.2 5 -0.2On target

Foster Griffinvs New York Mets 5.1 6 +0.9On target

Michael Wachavs Minnesota Twins 5.0 1 -4.0

Framber Valdezvs Seattle Mariners 4.5 5 +0.5On target

Brandon Youngvs Los Angeles Angels 4.5 4 -0.5On target

David Petersonvs Toronto Blue Jays 4.5 3 -1.5

Bailey Obervs Kansas City Royals 4.5 0 -4.5

Janson Junkvs Atlanta Braves 4.4 1 -3.4

Luis Castillovs Boston Red Sox 4.4 5 +0.6On target

Hit Probability Results

Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.

Fernando Tatis Jr.— · vs Kohl Drake 64.5% Hit

Luis Arraez— · vs Miles Mikolas 64.5% Hit

Bryce Harper— · vs Miles Mikolas 64.5% Hit

Kyle Schwarber— · vs Miles Mikolas 63.2% Hit

Brandon Marsh— · vs Miles Mikolas 63.0% Hit

Randy Arozarena— · vs Framber Valdez 62.1% Hit

Otto Lopez— · vs Martín Pérez 62.0% Hit

Elly De La Cruz— · vs Mason Barnett 61.6% Hit

Wilyer Abreu— · vs Luis Castillo 61.5% Hit

Kyle Stowers— · vs Martín Pérez 61.1% Hit

Tyler Soderstrom— · vs Andrew Abbott 60.7% Hit

Trea Turner— · vs Miles Mikolas 60.6% Hit

Gunnar Henderson— · vs Ryan Johnson 60.1% No Hit

Bobby Witt Jr.— · vs Bailey Ober 60.0% Hit

CJ Abrams— · vs Cristopher Sánchez 59.8% No Hit

What the Model Got Right

Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.

Top Home Run Calls

Brandon Lowe — 30.6% HR probability
Francisco Lindor — 23.9% HR probability
Marcus Semien — 18.9% HR probability

Top Strikeout Calls

Dylan Cease — proj 8.5, recorded 10
Nolan McLean — proj 6.4, recorded 8
Foster Griffin — proj 5.1, recorded 6

Biggest Surprises

Bailey Ober — proj 4.5, recorded 0
Michael Wacha — proj 5.0, recorded 1

Highest Performing Projection — Home Run Projection: Brandon Lowe. Model HR probability 30.6% — result: Home Run.

Live on EdgeRanked

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