MLB Results — August 5, 2026

MLB Model Results — August 5, 2026

Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.

Top Home Run Threat Results

Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.

#1 Coby Mayo— · vs Reid Detmers 31.2% Home Run

#2 Hunter Goodman— · vs Nick Martinez 31.1% No Home Run

#3 Brandon Lowe— · vs Kyle Harrison 30.6% No Home Run

#4 Jahmai Jones— · vs Sean Burke 30.4% No Home Run

#5 Royce Lewis— · vs Noah Cameron 27.3% No Home Run

#6 Kazuma Okamoto— · vs Hunter Brown 27.0% No Home Run

#7 Shohei Ohtani— · vs Shota Imanaga 26.2% Home Run

#8 Tyler O'Neill— · vs Reid Detmers 25.9% Home Run

#9 Mickey Moniak— · vs Nick Martinez 25.3% No Home Run

#10 Jo Adell— · vs Trevor Rogers 25.2% No Home Run

#11 Zach Neto— · vs Trevor Rogers 25.0% No Home Run

#12 Kyle Schwarber— · vs Jake Irvin 24.4% No Home Run

#13 Joc Pederson— · vs Carson Whisenhunt 24.3% No Home Run

#14 Jo Adell— · vs Christian Scott 24.0% No Home Run

#15 Francisco Lindor— · vs Tanner Bibee 23.9% No Home Run

Pitcher Strikeout Results

Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.

Paul Skenesvs Milwaukee Brewers 6.9 6 -0.9On target

Eury Pérezvs Atlanta Braves 5.8 9 +3.2

Kyle Harrisonvs Pittsburgh Pirates 5.7 10 +4.3

Reid Detmersvs Baltimore Orioles 5.6 5 -0.6On target

Cody Bradfordvs San Francisco Giants 5.5 5 -0.5On target

Christian Scottvs Cleveland Guardians 5.5 7 +1.5

Sean Burkevs Boston Red Sox 5.5 4 -1.5

Dean Kremervs Kansas City Royals 5.4 2 -3.4

Casey Mizevs Arizona Diamondbacks 5.2 1 -4.2

Bryan Woovs Detroit Tigers 5.1 5 -0.1On target

Hunter Brownvs Toronto Blue Jays 5.1 8 +2.9

Will Warrenvs St. Louis Cardinals 5.1 5 -0.1On target

Shota Imanagavs Los Angeles Dodgers 5.1 6 +0.9On target

Noah Cameronvs Minnesota Twins 5.1 9 +3.9

Sonny Grayvs Chicago White Sox 5.0 8 +3.0

Hit Probability Results

Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.

Shohei Ohtani— · vs Shota Imanaga 63.6% Hit

Fernando Tatis Jr.— · vs Mitch Bratt 62.9% Hit

Yordan Alvarez— · vs Jameson Taillon 62.3% Hit

Liam HicksTampa Bay Rays · vs Tomoyuki Sugano 61.9% No Hit

Junior CamineroTampa Bay Rays · vs Tomoyuki Sugano 61.7% Hit

Seiya Suzuki— · vs Eric Lauer 61.7% Hit

Elly De La Cruz— · vs Jacob Lopez 61.7% Hit

Bryce Harper— · vs Jake Irvin 61.2% No Hit

Tyler Soderstrom— · vs Rhett Lowder 61.2% Hit

Kyle Stowers— · vs Bryce Elder 61.2% No Hit

CJ Abrams— · vs Andrew Painter 60.8% Hit

Cole Carrigg— · vs Nick Martinez 60.8% No Hit

Luis García Jr.— · vs Andre Pallante 60.5% No Hit

Brett Baty— · vs Tanner Bibee 60.5% Hit

Mickey Moniak— · vs Nick Martinez 60.1% Hit

What the Model Got Right

Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.

Top Home Run Calls

Coby Mayo — 31.2% HR probability
Shohei Ohtani — 26.2% HR probability
Tyler O'Neill — 25.9% HR probability

Top Strikeout Calls

Eury Pérez — proj 5.8, recorded 9
Kyle Harrison — proj 5.7, recorded 10
Christian Scott — proj 5.5, recorded 7

Biggest Surprises

Tanner Bibee — proj 4.4, recorded 10
Mitch Bratt — proj 3.6, recorded 9

Highest Performing Projection — Home Run Projection: Coby Mayo. Model HR probability 31.2% — result: Home Run.

Live on EdgeRanked

See today's slate the same way

This is a graded past slate. EdgeRanked publishes the same home run, strikeout, and hit probability analysis for today's games before first pitch.

3-day free trial. The full results archive stays free.

Start Free Trial