Slate Summary
MLB Model Results — August 1, 2026
Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.
16
Games covered
410
Hitters evaluated
31
Pitchers evaluated
August 1, 2026
Slate date
Home Run Threats
Top Home Run Threat Results
Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded home run projections are available for this slate.
Strikeouts
Pitcher Strikeout Results
Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.
| Pitcher | Opponent | Projected Ks | Actual Ks | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob deGrom | Houston Astros | 6.4 | 3 | -3.4 | |
| Cristopher Sánchez | Baltimore Orioles | 6.3 | 11 | +4.7 | |
| Logan Gilbert | Minnesota Twins | 6.1 | 6 | -0.1 | On Target |
| Braxton Ashcraft | Cincinnati Reds | 6.1 | 5 | -1.1 | |
| Ronel Blanco | Texas Rangers | 6.0 | 4 | -2.0 | |
| Connor Prielipp | Seattle Mariners | 5.8 | 5 | -0.8 | On Target |
| Payton Tolle | Los Angeles Dodgers | 5.5 | 7 | +1.5 | |
| Jack Perkins | Detroit Tigers | 5.3 | 9 | +3.7 | |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | Boston Red Sox | 5.2 | 3 | -2.2 | |
| Drew Rasmussen | Chicago White Sox | 5.2 | 10 | +4.8 | |
| Parker Messick | Arizona Diamondbacks | 5.1 | 6 | +0.9 | On Target |
| Quinn Mathews | Toronto Blue Jays | 5.1 | 3 | -2.1 | |
| Max Fried | Chicago Cubs | 5.1 | 7 | +1.9 | |
| Kevin Gausman | St. Louis Cardinals | 5.1 | 4 | -1.1 | |
| Tyler Mahle | San Diego Padres | 4.8 | 9 | +4.2 |
Hit Probability
Hit Probability Results
Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded hit projections are available for this slate.
Model Highlights
What the Model Got Right
Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.
Top Strikeout Calls
- Cristopher Sánchez — proj 6.3, recorded 11
- Payton Tolle — proj 5.5, recorded 7
- Jack Perkins — proj 5.3, recorded 9
Biggest Surprises
- Drew Rasmussen — proj 5.2, recorded 10
- Cristopher Sánchez — proj 6.3, recorded 11
Highest Performing Projection — Strikeout Projection: Cristopher Sánchez. Projected 6.3 strikeouts — recorded 11.
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