Slate Summary
MLB Model Results — August 2, 2026
Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.
16
Games covered
417
Hitters evaluated
32
Pitchers evaluated
August 2, 2026
Slate date
Home Run Threats
Top Home Run Threat Results
Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded home run projections are available for this slate.
Strikeouts
Pitcher Strikeout Results
Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.
| Pitcher | Opponent | Projected Ks | Actual Ks | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Misiorowski | Los Angeles Angels | 8.7 | 10 | +1.3 | |
| Kyle Bradish | Philadelphia Phillies | 7.0 | 3 | -4.0 | |
| Zack Wheeler | Baltimore Orioles | 6.9 | 3 | -3.9 | |
| Chase Burns | Pittsburgh Pirates | 6.1 | 9 | +2.9 | |
| Gerrit Cole | Chicago Cubs | 5.8 | 5 | -0.8 | On Target |
| Griffin Jax | Chicago White Sox | 5.6 | 8 | +2.4 | |
| Cade Cavalli | Atlanta Braves | 5.6 | 3 | -2.6 | |
| Gage Jump | Detroit Tigers | 5.6 | 5 | -0.6 | On Target |
| Gavin Williams | Arizona Diamondbacks | 5.5 | 10 | +4.5 | |
| Emmet Sheehan | Boston Red Sox | 5.5 | 4 | -1.5 | |
| Taj Bradley | Seattle Mariners | 5.4 | 2 | -3.4 | |
| George Kirby | Minnesota Twins | 5.2 | 3 | -2.2 | |
| Kumar Rocker | Houston Astros | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 | On Target |
| Peter Lambert | Texas Rangers | 5.1 | 8 | +2.9 | |
| Landen Roupp | San Diego Padres | 4.8 | 6 | +1.2 |
Hit Probability
Hit Probability Results
Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded hit projections are available for this slate.
Model Highlights
What the Model Got Right
Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.
Top Strikeout Calls
- Jacob Misiorowski — proj 8.7, recorded 10
- Chase Burns — proj 6.1, recorded 9
- Griffin Jax — proj 5.6, recorded 8
Biggest Surprises
- Gavin Williams — proj 5.5, recorded 10
- Kyle Bradish — proj 7.0, recorded 3
Highest Performing Projection — Strikeout Projection: Jacob Misiorowski. Projected 8.7 strikeouts — recorded 10.
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