MLB Results — June 15, 2026

MLB Model Results — June 15, 2026

Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.

Top Home Run Threat Results

Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.

#1 Byron Buxton— · vs MacKenzie Gore 23.9% Home Run

#2 Brandon Lowe— · vs J.T. Ginn 21.1% No Home Run

#3 Juan Soto— · vs Chase Burns 20.5% No Home Run

#4 Bryce Harper— · vs Ryan Gusto 20.1% No Home Run

#5 Christian Walker— · vs Troy Melton 20.1% No Home Run

#6 Mike Trout— · vs Ryne Nelson 19.4% Home Run

#7 Junior CamineroTampa Bay Rays · vs Eric Lauer 19.4% No Home Run

#8 Shohei Ohtani— · vs Nick Martinez 18.8% No Home Run

#9 Yordan Alvarez— · vs Troy Melton 18.2% No Home Run

#10 Hunter Goodman— · vs Shota Imanaga 18.0% No Home Run

#11 Max Muncy— · vs Nick Martinez 17.9% No Home Run

#12 Kyle Schwarber— · vs Ryan Gusto 17.7% No Home Run

#13 Nick Kurtz— · vs Jared Jones 17.6% Home Run

#14 Tyler Soderstrom— · vs Jared Jones 17.3% No Home Run

#15 Shea Langeliers— · vs Jared Jones 17.2% No Home Run

Pitcher Strikeout Results

Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.

Zack Wheelervs Miami Marlins 6.5 9 +2.5

Chase Burnsvs New York Mets 6.2 7 +0.8On target

Dustin Mayvs San Diego Padres 6.2 9 +2.8

Shota Imanagavs Colorado Rockies 6.1 3 -3.1

J.T. Ginnvs Pittsburgh Pirates 5.9 3 -2.9

Kai-Wei Tengvs Detroit Tigers 5.4 9 +3.6

Walbert Ureñavs Arizona Diamondbacks 5.4 3 -2.4

MacKenzie Gorevs Minnesota Twins 5.4 10 +4.6

Ryne Nelsonvs Los Angeles Angels 4.6 5 +0.4On target

Andrew Alvarezvs Kansas City Royals 4.5 5 +0.5On target

Eric Lauervs Tampa Bay Rays 4.5 4 -0.5On target

Jared Jonesvs Athletics 4.3 4 -0.3On target

Nick Martinezvs Los Angeles Dodgers 3.9 6 +2.1

Michael Lorenzenvs Chicago Cubs 3.8 5 +1.2

Tobias Myersvs Cincinnati Reds 1.3 1 -0.3On target

Hit Probability Results

Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.

Byron Buxton— · vs MacKenzie Gore 65.0% Hit

Brandon Lowe— · vs J.T. Ginn 65.0% Hit

Christian Walker— · vs Troy Melton 65.0% No Hit

Junior CamineroTampa Bay Rays · vs Eric Lauer 65.0% Hit

Fernando Tatis Jr.— · vs Dustin May 65.0% No Hit

Bryce Harper— · vs Ryan Gusto 65.0% No Hit

Juan Soto— · vs Chase Burns 65.0% No Hit

Mike Trout— · vs Ryne Nelson 65.0% Hit

Jake Burger— · vs Unknown Pitcher 65.0% Hit

Bobby Witt Jr.— · vs Andrew Alvarez 65.0% No Hit

Andy Pages— · vs Nick Martinez 65.0% No Hit

Hunter Goodman— · vs Shota Imanaga 64.7% Hit

CJ Abrams— · vs Mitch Spence 64.5% No Hit

Alex Bregman— · vs Michael Lorenzen 63.7% Hit

Max Muncy— · vs Nick Martinez 63.1% Hit

What the Model Got Right

Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.

Top Home Run Calls

Byron Buxton — 23.9% HR probability
Mike Trout — 19.4% HR probability
Nick Kurtz — 17.6% HR probability

Top Strikeout Calls

Zack Wheeler — proj 6.5, recorded 9
Chase Burns — proj 6.2, recorded 7
Dustin May — proj 6.2, recorded 9

Biggest Surprises

MacKenzie Gore — proj 5.4, recorded 10
Kai-Wei Teng — proj 5.4, recorded 9

Highest Performing Projection — Home Run Projection: Byron Buxton. Model HR probability 23.9% — result: Home Run.

Live on EdgeRanked

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