MLB Results

MLB Model Results — July 14, 2026

Home run threat, strikeout, and hit probability results for this MLB slate.

MLB Model Results — July 14, 2026

Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.

Top Home Run Threat Results

Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.

#1 Kyle Schwarber— · vs Dylan Cease 31.0% No Home Run
#2 Yordan Alvarez— · vs Cristopher Sánchez 24.1% No Home Run
#3 Mike Trout— · vs Cristopher Sánchez 18.5% No Home Run
#4 Max Muncy— · vs Dylan Cease 17.9% No Home Run
#6 Juan Soto— · vs Dylan Cease 16.7% No Home Run
#7 Riley Greene— · vs Cristopher Sánchez 16.7% No Home Run
#8 Freddie Freeman— · vs Dylan Cease 16.4% No Home Run
#9 Shea Langeliers— · vs Cristopher Sánchez 16.4% No Home Run
#10 CJ Abrams— · vs Dylan Cease 12.9% No Home Run
#11 Ben Rice— · vs Cristopher Sánchez 11.7% No Home Run
#12 Drake Baldwin— · vs Dylan Cease 11.7% No Home Run
#13 Andy Pages— · vs Dylan Cease 10.7% No Home Run
#14 Brandon Marsh— · vs Dylan Cease 10.6% No Home Run
#15 Bobby Witt Jr.— · vs Cristopher Sánchez 10.4% No Home Run

Pitcher Strikeout Results

Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.

Dylan Ceasevs National League All-Stars 8.5 3 -5.5
Cristopher Sánchezvs American League All-Stars 6.1 2 -4.1

Hit Probability Results

Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.

Yordan Alvarez— · vs Cristopher Sánchez 58.5% Hit
Juan Soto— · vs Dylan Cease 58.4% Hit
Kyle Schwarber— · vs Dylan Cease 57.2% No Hit
Brandon Marsh— · vs Dylan Cease 56.9% No Hit
Ben Rice— · vs Cristopher Sánchez 54.5% Hit
Bobby Witt Jr.— · vs Cristopher Sánchez 53.0% No Hit
CJ Abrams— · vs Dylan Cease 52.7% No Hit
Mike Trout— · vs Cristopher Sánchez 52.5% No Hit
Freddie Freeman— · vs Dylan Cease 52.5% No Hit
Riley Greene— · vs Cristopher Sánchez 52.4% No Hit
Ernie Clement— · vs Cristopher Sánchez 51.6% No Hit
Andy Pages— · vs Dylan Cease 51.4% No Hit
Max Muncy— · vs Dylan Cease 50.8% No Hit

What the Model Got Right

Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.

Biggest Surprises

Live on EdgeRanked

See today's slate the same way

This is a graded past slate. EdgeRanked publishes the same home run, strikeout, and hit probability analysis for today's games before first pitch.

3-day free trial. The full results archive stays free.