Slate Summary
MLB Model Results — July 22, 2026
Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.
17
Games covered
451
Hitters evaluated
34
Pitchers evaluated
July 22, 2026
Slate date
Home Run Threats
Top Home Run Threat Results
Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded home run projections are available for this slate.
Strikeouts
Pitcher Strikeout Results
Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.
| Pitcher | Opponent | Projected Ks | Actual Ks | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Bradish | Boston Red Sox | 7.2 | 4 | -3.2 | |
| Logan Henderson | New York Mets | 6.1 | 9 | +2.9 | |
| Christian Scott | Milwaukee Brewers | 5.9 | 6 | +0.1 | On Target |
| Griffin Jax | Toronto Blue Jays | 5.6 | 5 | -0.6 | On Target |
| Reid Detmers | St. Louis Cardinals | 5.5 | 6 | +0.5 | On Target |
| Cade Cavalli | Colorado Rockies | 5.5 | 8 | +2.5 | |
| Emerson Hancock | Cincinnati Reds | 5.5 | 3 | -2.5 | |
| Gerrit Cole | Pittsburgh Pirates | 5.4 | 11 | +5.6 | |
| Gabriel Hughes | Washington Nationals | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 | On Target |
| Dean Kremer | Boston Red Sox | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 | On Target |
| Hunter Dobbins | Los Angeles Angels | 5.2 | 5 | -0.2 | On Target |
| Gage Jump | Arizona Diamondbacks | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 | On Target |
| Aaron Nola | Los Angeles Dodgers | 5.1 | 4 | -1.1 | |
| Landen Roupp | Kansas City Royals | 5.1 | 7 | +1.9 | |
| Peter Lambert | Miami Marlins | 5.1 | 3 | -2.1 |
Hit Probability
Hit Probability Results
Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded hit projections are available for this slate.
Model Highlights
What the Model Got Right
Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.
Top Strikeout Calls
- Logan Henderson — proj 6.1, recorded 9
- Christian Scott — proj 5.9, recorded 6
- Reid Detmers — proj 5.5, recorded 6
Biggest Surprises
- Gerrit Cole — proj 5.4, recorded 11
- Keider Montero — proj 4.5, recorded 8
Highest Performing Projection — Strikeout Projection: Logan Henderson. Projected 6.1 strikeouts — recorded 9.
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