MLB Results — July 17, 2026

Slate Summary

MLB Model Results — July 17, 2026

Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.

Games covered

399

Hitters evaluated

Pitchers evaluated

July 17, 2026

Slate date

Home Run Threats

Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.

No graded home run projections are available for this slate.

Strikeouts

Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.

Pitcher	Opponent	Projected Ks	Actual Ks	Difference
Chris Sale	Texas Rangers	6.6	6	-0.6	On Target
Reid Detmers	Detroit Tigers	6.3	7	+0.7	On Target
Logan Henderson	Miami Marlins	5.7	4	-1.7
Troy Melton	Los Angeles Angels	5.5	9	+3.5
Landen Roupp	Seattle Mariners	5.4	2	-3.4
Griffin Jax	Boston Red Sox	5.4	6	+0.6	On Target
Bryce Miller	San Francisco Giants	5.4	6	+0.6	On Target
Peter Lambert	Baltimore Orioles	5.3	10	+4.7
Dean Kremer	Houston Astros	5.3	5	-0.3	On Target
Gerrit Cole	Los Angeles Dodgers	4.9	8	+3.1
Gabriel Hughes	Cincinnati Reds	4.9	6	+1.1
Gage Jump	Washington Nationals	4.9	8	+3.1
Anthony Kay	Toronto Blue Jays	4.2	5	+0.8	On Target
Roki Sasaki	New York Yankees	4.2	5	+0.8	On Target
Bailey Ober	Chicago Cubs	4.2	7	+2.8

Hit Probability

Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.

No graded hit projections are available for this slate.

Model Highlights

Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.

Highest Performing Projection — Strikeout Projection: Reid Detmers. Projected 6.3 strikeouts — recorded 7.

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