MLB Model Results — May 29, 2026
Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.
Top Home Run Threat Results
Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded home run projections are available for this slate.
Pitcher Strikeout Results
Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.
| Pitcher | Opponent | Projected Ks | Actual Ks | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taj Bradley | Pittsburgh Pirates | 7.5 | 6 | -1.5 | |
| Max Meyer | New York Mets | 7.5 | 6 | -1.5 | |
| Freddy Peralta | Miami Marlins | 6.1 | 5 | -1.1 | |
| Jared Jones | Minnesota Twins | 6.1 | 6 | -0.1 | On Target |
| Luis Severino | New York Yankees | 5.8 | 1 | -4.8 | |
| George Kirby | Arizona Diamondbacks | 5.7 | 4 | -1.7 | |
| Zack Wheeler | Los Angeles Dodgers | 5.6 | 4 | -1.6 | |
| Logan Webb | Colorado Rockies | 5.6 | 5 | -0.6 | On Target |
| Shota Imanaga | St. Louis Cardinals | 5.5 | 2 | -3.5 | |
| Kai-Wei Teng | Milwaukee Brewers | 5.5 | 7 | +1.5 | |
| Walbert Ureña | Tampa Bay Rays | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 | On Target |
| MacKenzie Gore | Kansas City Royals | 5.3 | 3 | -2.3 | |
| Grant Holmes | Cincinnati Reds | 5.2 | 5 | -0.2 | On Target |
| Nick Martinez | Los Angeles Angels | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 | On Target |
| Stephen Kolek | Texas Rangers | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 | On Target |
Hit Probability Results
Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded hit projections are available for this slate.
What the Model Got Right
Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.
Top Strikeout Calls
- Kai-Wei Teng — proj 5.5, recorded 7
- Nick Martinez — proj 4.8, recorded 5
- Stephen Kolek — proj 4.8, recorded 5
Biggest Surprises
- Luis Severino — proj 5.8, recorded 1
- Justin Wrobleski — proj 4.6, recorded 9
See today's slate the same way
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