MLB Results

MLB Model Results — May 29, 2026

Home run threat, strikeout, and hit probability results for this MLB slate.

Slate Summary

MLB Model Results — May 29, 2026

Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.

15
Games covered
0
Hitters evaluated
30
Pitchers evaluated
May 29, 2026
Slate date
Home Run Threats

Top Home Run Threat Results

Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.

No graded home run projections are available for this slate.

Strikeouts

Pitcher Strikeout Results

Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.

PitcherOpponentProjected KsActual KsDifference
Taj BradleyPittsburgh Pirates7.56-1.5
Max MeyerNew York Mets7.56-1.5
Freddy PeraltaMiami Marlins6.15-1.1
Jared JonesMinnesota Twins6.16-0.1On Target
Luis SeverinoNew York Yankees5.81-4.8
George KirbyArizona Diamondbacks5.74-1.7
Zack WheelerLos Angeles Dodgers5.64-1.6
Logan WebbColorado Rockies5.65-0.6On Target
Shota ImanagaSt. Louis Cardinals5.52-3.5
Kai-Wei TengMilwaukee Brewers5.57+1.5
Walbert UreñaTampa Bay Rays5.35-0.3On Target
MacKenzie GoreKansas City Royals5.33-2.3
Grant HolmesCincinnati Reds5.25-0.2On Target
Nick MartinezLos Angeles Angels4.85+0.2On Target
Stephen KolekTexas Rangers4.85+0.2On Target
Hit Probability

Hit Probability Results

Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.

No graded hit projections are available for this slate.

Model Highlights

What the Model Got Right

Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.

Top Strikeout Calls

  • Kai-Wei Teng — proj 5.5, recorded 7
  • Nick Martinez — proj 4.8, recorded 5
  • Stephen Kolek — proj 4.8, recorded 5

Biggest Surprises

  • Luis Severino — proj 5.8, recorded 1
  • Justin Wrobleski — proj 4.6, recorded 9
Highest Performing Projection — Strikeout Projection: Kai-Wei Teng. Projected 5.5 strikeouts — recorded 7.
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