MLB Model Results — May 28, 2026
Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.
Top Home Run Threat Results
Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded home run projections are available for this slate.
Pitcher Strikeout Results
Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.
| Pitcher | Opponent | Projected Ks | Actual Ks | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davis Martin | Minnesota Twins | 7.9 | 5 | -2.9 | |
| Paul Skenes | Chicago Cubs | 7.3 | 10 | +2.7 | |
| Payton Tolle | Atlanta Braves | 7.3 | 7 | -0.3 | On Target |
| Chris Sale | Boston Red Sox | 6.9 | 8 | +1.1 | |
| Nathan Eovaldi | Houston Astros | 5.8 | 6 | +0.2 | On Target |
| Spencer Arrighetti | Texas Rangers | 5.4 | 3 | -2.4 | |
| Colin Rea | Pittsburgh Pirates | 5.4 | 5 | -0.4 | On Target |
| Jack Flaherty | Los Angeles Angels | 4.6 | 9 | +4.4 | |
| Chris Bassitt | Toronto Blue Jays | 4.6 | 2 | -2.6 | |
| Grayson Rodriguez | Detroit Tigers | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 | On Target |
| Patrick Corbin | Baltimore Orioles | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 | On Target |
Hit Probability Results
Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded hit projections are available for this slate.
What the Model Got Right
Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.
Top Strikeout Calls
- Paul Skenes — proj 7.3, recorded 10
- Chris Sale — proj 6.9, recorded 8
- Nathan Eovaldi — proj 5.8, recorded 6
Biggest Surprises
- Jack Flaherty — proj 4.6, recorded 9
- Davis Martin — proj 7.9, recorded 5
See today's slate the same way
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