Slate Summary
MLB Model Results — May 28, 2026
Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.
6
Games covered
0
Hitters evaluated
12
Pitchers evaluated
May 28, 2026
Slate date
Home Run Threats
Top Home Run Threat Results
Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded home run projections are available for this slate.
Strikeouts
Pitcher Strikeout Results
Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.
| Pitcher | Opponent | Projected Ks | Actual Ks | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davis Martin | Minnesota Twins | 7.9 | 5 | -2.9 | |
| Paul Skenes | Chicago Cubs | 7.3 | 10 | +2.7 | |
| Payton Tolle | Atlanta Braves | 7.3 | 7 | -0.3 | On Target |
| Chris Sale | Boston Red Sox | 6.9 | 8 | +1.1 | |
| Nathan Eovaldi | Houston Astros | 5.8 | 6 | +0.2 | On Target |
| Spencer Arrighetti | Texas Rangers | 5.4 | 3 | -2.4 | |
| Colin Rea | Pittsburgh Pirates | 5.4 | 5 | -0.4 | On Target |
| Jack Flaherty | Los Angeles Angels | 4.6 | 9 | +4.4 | |
| Chris Bassitt | Toronto Blue Jays | 4.6 | 2 | -2.6 | |
| Grayson Rodriguez | Detroit Tigers | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 | On Target |
| Patrick Corbin | Baltimore Orioles | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 | On Target |
Hit Probability
Hit Probability Results
Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded hit projections are available for this slate.
Model Highlights
What the Model Got Right
Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.
Top Strikeout Calls
- Paul Skenes — proj 7.3, recorded 10
- Chris Sale — proj 6.9, recorded 8
- Nathan Eovaldi — proj 5.8, recorded 6
Biggest Surprises
- Jack Flaherty — proj 4.6, recorded 9
- Davis Martin — proj 7.9, recorded 5
Highest Performing Projection — Strikeout Projection: Paul Skenes. Projected 7.3 strikeouts — recorded 10.
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