MLB Results

MLB Model Results — April 24, 2026

Home run threat, strikeout, and hit probability results for this MLB slate.

Slate Summary

MLB Model Results — April 24, 2026

Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.

1
Games covered
3
Hitters evaluated
1
Pitchers evaluated
April 24, 2026
Slate date
Home Run Threats

Top Home Run Threat Results

Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.

RankPlayerTeamMatchupHR ProbabilityResult
#1Carlos Cortesvs Nathan Eovaldi3.9%Home Run
#2Brayan Rocchiovs Max Scherzer2.2%No Home Run
#3J.P. Crawfordvs Andre Pallante2.2%No Home Run
Strikeouts

Pitcher Strikeout Results

Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.

PitcherOpponentProjected KsActual KsDifference
Andrew AbbottDetroit Tigers3.44+0.6On Target
Hit Probability

Hit Probability Results

Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.

PlayerTeamMatchupHit ProbabilityResult
Carlos Cortesvs Nathan Eovaldi56.7%Hit
J.P. Crawfordvs Andre Pallante54.7%No Hit
Brayan Rocchiovs Max Scherzer54.5%Hit
Model Highlights

What the Model Got Right

Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.

Top Home Run Calls

  • Carlos Cortes — 3.9% HR probability

Top Strikeout Calls

  • Andrew Abbott — proj 3.4, recorded 4

Biggest Surprises

  • Andrew Abbott — proj 3.4, recorded 4
Highest Performing Projection — Home Run Projection: Carlos Cortes. Model HR probability 3.9% — result: Home Run.
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