Slate Summary
MLB Model Results — April 25, 2026
Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.
1
Games covered
3
Hitters evaluated
1
Pitchers evaluated
April 25, 2026
Slate date
Home Run Threats
Top Home Run Threat Results
Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.
| Rank | Player | Team | Matchup | HR Probability | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Carlos Cortes | — | vs MacKenzie Gore | 4.9% | No Home Run |
| #2 | J.P. Crawford | — | vs Matthew Liberatore | 2.2% | No Home Run |
| #3 | Brayan Rocchio | — | vs Kevin Gausman | 2.2% | No Home Run |
Strikeouts
Pitcher Strikeout Results
Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.
| Pitcher | Opponent | Projected Ks | Actual Ks | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Crochet | Baltimore Orioles | 6.2 | 7 | +0.8 | On Target |
Hit Probability
Hit Probability Results
Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.
| Player | Team | Matchup | Hit Probability | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.P. Crawford | — | vs Matthew Liberatore | 58.6% | Hit |
| Carlos Cortes | — | vs MacKenzie Gore | 57.5% | Hit |
| Brayan Rocchio | — | vs Kevin Gausman | 55.6% | Hit |
Model Highlights
What the Model Got Right
Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.
Top Strikeout Calls
- Garrett Crochet — proj 6.2, recorded 7
Biggest Surprises
- Garrett Crochet — proj 6.2, recorded 7
Highest Performing Projection — Strikeout Projection: Garrett Crochet. Projected 6.2 strikeouts — recorded 7.
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