MLB Results — April 23, 2026

MLB Model Results — April 23, 2026

Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.

Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.

#1 Willi Castro— · vs Matt Waldron 3.0% No Home Run

#2 Kyle Karros— · vs Matt Waldron 2.3% No Home Run

#3 Jake McCarthy— · vs Matt Waldron 1.6% No Home Run

Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.

Michael Sorokavs Chicago White Sox 5.5 6 +0.5On target

Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.

Willi Castro— · vs Matt Waldron 55.2% No Hit

Kyle Karros— · vs Matt Waldron 51.6% No Hit

Jake McCarthy— · vs Matt Waldron 51.5% Hit

Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.

Highest Performing Projection — Strikeout Projection: Michael Soroka. Projected 5.5 strikeouts — recorded 6.

Live on EdgeRanked

This is a graded past slate. EdgeRanked publishes the same home run, strikeout, and hit probability analysis for today's games before first pitch.

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