Slate Summary
MLB Model Results — April 23, 2026
Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.
1
Games covered
3
Hitters evaluated
1
Pitchers evaluated
April 23, 2026
Slate date
Home Run Threats
Top Home Run Threat Results
Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.
| Rank | Player | Team | Matchup | HR Probability | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Willi Castro | — | vs Matt Waldron | 3.0% | No Home Run |
| #2 | Kyle Karros | — | vs Matt Waldron | 2.3% | No Home Run |
| #3 | Jake McCarthy | — | vs Matt Waldron | 1.6% | No Home Run |
Strikeouts
Pitcher Strikeout Results
Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.
| Pitcher | Opponent | Projected Ks | Actual Ks | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Soroka | Chicago White Sox | 5.5 | 6 | +0.5 | On Target |
Hit Probability
Hit Probability Results
Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.
| Player | Team | Matchup | Hit Probability | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willi Castro | — | vs Matt Waldron | 55.2% | No Hit |
| Kyle Karros | — | vs Matt Waldron | 51.6% | No Hit |
| Jake McCarthy | — | vs Matt Waldron | 51.5% | Hit |
Model Highlights
What the Model Got Right
Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.
Top Strikeout Calls
- Michael Soroka — proj 5.5, recorded 6
Biggest Surprises
- Michael Soroka — proj 5.5, recorded 6
Highest Performing Projection — Strikeout Projection: Michael Soroka. Projected 5.5 strikeouts — recorded 6.
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