Slate Summary
MLB Model Results — April 11, 2026
Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.
2
Games covered
3
Hitters evaluated
3
Pitchers evaluated
April 11, 2026
Slate date
Home Run Threats
Top Home Run Threat Results
Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.
| Rank | Player | Team | Matchup | HR Probability | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Davis Schneider | — | vs Joe Ryan | 2.2% | No Home Run |
| #2 | Austin Hedges | — | vs Martín Pérez | 1.6% | No Home Run |
Strikeouts
Pitcher Strikeout Results
Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.
| Pitcher | Opponent | Projected Ks | Actual Ks | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Cabrera | Pittsburgh Pirates | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 | On Target |
| Germán Márquez | Colorado Rockies | 2.0 | 5 | +3.0 | |
| Chris Bassitt | San Francisco Giants | 2.0 | 2 | +0.0 | On Target |
Hit Probability
Hit Probability Results
Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.
| Player | Team | Matchup | Hit Probability | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davis Schneider | — | vs Joe Ryan | 57.1% | No Hit |
| Austin Hedges | — | vs Martín Pérez | 57.1% | Hit |
Model Highlights
What the Model Got Right
Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.
Top Strikeout Calls
- Edward Cabrera — proj 3.4, recorded 4
- Germán Márquez — proj 2.0, recorded 5
- Chris Bassitt — proj 2.0, recorded 2
Biggest Surprises
- Germán Márquez — proj 2.0, recorded 5
- Edward Cabrera — proj 3.4, recorded 4
Highest Performing Projection — Strikeout Projection: Edward Cabrera. Projected 3.4 strikeouts — recorded 4.
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