Slate Summary
MLB Model Results — April 12, 2026
Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.
1
Games covered
3
Hitters evaluated
1
Pitchers evaluated
April 12, 2026
Slate date
Home Run Threats
Top Home Run Threat Results
Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.
| Rank | Player | Team | Matchup | HR Probability | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Juan Brito | — | vs Chris Sale | 3.3% | No Home Run |
| #2 | Brayan Rocchio | — | vs Chris Sale | 2.2% | No Home Run |
| #3 | Rhys Hoskins | — | vs Chris Sale | 2.2% | Home Run |
Strikeouts
Pitcher Strikeout Results
Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.
| Pitcher | Opponent | Projected Ks | Actual Ks | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarik Skubal | Miami Marlins | 6.1 | 7 | +0.9 | On Target |
Hit Probability
Hit Probability Results
Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.
| Player | Team | Matchup | Hit Probability | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Brito | — | vs Chris Sale | 58.2% | No Hit |
| Brayan Rocchio | — | vs Chris Sale | 54.7% | No Hit |
| Rhys Hoskins | — | vs Chris Sale | 52.9% | Hit |
Model Highlights
What the Model Got Right
Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.
Top Home Run Calls
- Rhys Hoskins — 2.2% HR probability
Top Strikeout Calls
- Tarik Skubal — proj 6.1, recorded 7
Biggest Surprises
- Tarik Skubal — proj 6.1, recorded 7
Highest Performing Projection — Home Run Projection: Rhys Hoskins. Model HR probability 2.2% — result: Home Run.
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