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Home Run Targets

Hitters with the highest home-run probability on the slate.

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Hit Targets2+ BasesRBI TargetsHome RunsStolen BasesHitter Ks
MLB

Home Run Board

Expanded hitter projections across the slate, with projection kept primary and lines shown as supporting context.

Showing 55 rows.

PlayerTeamOpponentStatProjectionConfidenceLean
Corbin CarrollARIZONA DIAMONDBACKSPhiladelphia PhilliesHome Runs2.1%Top SignalUnder
Bryce HarperPHILADELPHIA PHILLIESArizona DiamondbacksHome Runs4.7%Top SignalUnder
Jordan WalkerST. LOUIS CARDINALSBoston Red SoxHome Runs5.4%Top SignalUnder
Drake BaldwinATLANTA BRAVESCleveland GuardiansHome Runs3.8%Top SignalUnder
Freddie FreemanLOS ANGELES DODGERSTexas RangersHome Runs3.8%Top SignalUnder
Francisco AlvarezNEW YORK METSAthleticsHome Runs3.6%Top SignalUnder
CJ AbramsWASHINGTON NATIONALSMilwaukee BrewersHome Runs3.1%Top SignalUnder
Brandon NimmoTEXAS RANGERSLos Angeles DodgersHome Runs1.8%Top SignalUnder
Andy PagesLOS ANGELES DODGERSTexas RangersHome Runs1.8%Top SignalUnder
Brett BatyNEW YORK METSAthleticsHome Runs1.6%Top SignalUnder
Fernando Tatis Jr.SAN DIEGO PADRESColorado RockiesHome Runs1.8%Top SignalUnder
Brady HouseWASHINGTON NATIONALSMilwaukee BrewersHome Runs3.9%Top SignalUnder
Jo AdellLOS ANGELES ANGELSCincinnati RedsHome Runs2.2%Top SignalUnder
Jonathan ArandaTAMPA BAY RAYSNew York YankeesHome Runs2.2%Top SignalUnder
Christian WalkerHOUSTON ASTROSSeattle MarinersHome Runs1.8%Top SignalUnder
Chandler SimpsonTAMPA BAY RAYSNew York YankeesHome Runs1.8%Top SignalUnder
Ildemaro VargasARIZONA DIAMONDBACKSPhiladelphia PhilliesHome Runs1.7%Top SignalUnder
Gunnar HendersonBALTIMORE ORIOLESSan Francisco GiantsHome Runs4.6%Top SignalUnder
Chase MeidrothCHICAGO WHITE SOXKansas City RoyalsHome Runs3.3%Top SignalUnder
Bo BichetteNEW YORK METSAthleticsHome Runs2.2%Top SignalUnder
Carson KellyCHICAGO CUBSPittsburgh PiratesHome Runs2.2%Top SignalUnder
Bobby Witt Jr.KANSAS CITY ROYALSChicago White SoxHome Runs2.1%Top SignalUnder
Christian YelichMILWAUKEE BREWERSWashington NationalsHome Runs1.8%Top SignalUnder
Austin HedgesCLEVELAND GUARDIANSAtlanta BravesHome Runs1.7%Top SignalUnder
Edouard JulienCOLORADO ROCKIESSan Diego PadresHome Runs1.6%Top SignalUnder
Aaron JudgeNEW YORK YANKEESTampa Bay RaysHome Runs9.2%Top SignalUnder
Oneil CruzPITTSBURGH PIRATESChicago CubsHome Runs5.0%Top SignalUnder
Bryan ReynoldsPITTSBURGH PIRATESChicago CubsHome Runs3.1%Top SignalUnder
Adolis GarcíaPHILADELPHIA PHILLIESArizona DiamondbacksHome Runs2.8%Top SignalUnder
Ceddanne RafaelaBOSTON RED SOXSt. Louis CardinalsHome Runs2.2%Top SignalUnder
Alec BurlesonST. LOUIS CARDINALSBoston Red SoxHome Runs2.2%Top SignalUnder
Brett SullivanCOLORADO ROCKIESSan Diego PadresHome Runs1.7%Top SignalUnder
Kyle SchwarberPHILADELPHIA PHILLIESArizona DiamondbacksHome Runs7.4%Top SignalUnder
Shohei OhtaniLOS ANGELES DODGERSTexas RangersHome Runs5.2%Top SignalUnder
James WoodWASHINGTON NATIONALSMilwaukee BrewersHome Runs5.0%Top SignalUnder
Sal StewartCINCINNATI REDSLos Angeles AngelsHome Runs4.2%Top SignalUnder
Nico HoernerCHICAGO CUBSPittsburgh PiratesHome Runs2.2%Top SignalUnder
Wilyer AbreuBOSTON RED SOXSt. Louis CardinalsHome Runs1.8%Top SignalUnder
Austin MartinMINNESOTA TWINSToronto Blue JaysHome Runs1.8%Top SignalUnder
Jared OlivaSAN FRANCISCO GIANTSBaltimore OriolesHome Runs1.7%Top SignalUnder
Dustin HarrisCHICAGO WHITE SOXKansas City RoyalsHome Runs3.4%Top SignalUnder
Luisangel AcuñaCHICAGO WHITE SOXKansas City RoyalsHome Runs2.4%Top SignalUnder
Tyler TolbertKANSAS CITY ROYALSChicago White SoxHome Runs2.4%Top SignalUnder
Richie PalaciosTAMPA BAY RAYSNew York YankeesHome Runs2.2%Top SignalUnder
David HamiltonMILWAUKEE BREWERSWashington NationalsHome Runs2.1%Top SignalUnder
Luken BakerARIZONA DIAMONDBACKSPhiladelphia PhilliesHome Runs1.9%Top SignalUnder
Tyler FreemanCOLORADO ROCKIESSan Diego PadresHome Runs1.6%Top SignalUnder
Tristan PetersCHICAGO WHITE SOXKansas City RoyalsHome Runs2.8%Top SignalUnder
Randal GrichukNEW YORK YANKEESTampa Bay RaysHome Runs2.4%Top SignalUnder
Travis d'ArnaudLOS ANGELES ANGELSCincinnati RedsHome Runs2.2%Top SignalUnder
Rob RefsnyderSEATTLE MARINERSHouston AstrosHome Runs2.0%Top SignalUnder
Michael MasseyKANSAS CITY ROYALSChicago White SoxHome Runs1.8%Top SignalUnder
Mitch GarverSEATTLE MARINERSHouston AstrosHome Runs1.8%Top SignalUnder
Kyle ManzardoCLEVELAND GUARDIANSAtlanta BravesHome Runs1.7%Top SignalUnder
Dylan CarlsonCHICAGO CUBSPittsburgh PiratesHome Runs1.7%Top SignalUnder