MLB Game Preview

New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays

2026-06-30 · Updated June 30, 2026 9:04 AM ET

Matchup

New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays

Power Environment

Away Team
New York Mets

Road club

Home Team
Toronto Blue Jays

Home club

Game Date
2026-06-30

Scheduled slate date

New York Mets Outlook
Commanding

Team outlook tier

Toronto Blue Jays Outlook
Underdog

Team outlook tier

Favorite
New York Mets

Higher modeled team outlook

Simulation Outlook

Game simulation summary

Public outlook tiers from the MLB game simulation.

One-Run Game Outlook
Difficult

Simulation outlook tier

Blowout Game Outlook
Below Average

Simulation outlook tier

High Scoring Game Outlook
Below Average

Simulation outlook tier

Low Scoring Game Outlook
Below Average

Simulation outlook tier

MLB Game

Starting Pitchers

Confirmed starters for this matchup.

PitcherTeamConfidence
Nolan McLeanNew York Mets
Kevin GausmanToronto Blue Jays
MLB Game

Top Home Run Threats

Leading home-run outlooks in this matchup.

PlayerTeamHR Outlook
Juan SotoNew York MetsDifficult
Francisco LindorNew York MetsDifficult
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.Toronto Blue JaysDifficult
MLB Game

Top Hitters

Leading hitter outlooks in this matchup.

PlayerTeamHit Outlook2+ Bases OutlookRBI Outlook
Juan SotoNew York MetsAbove AverageBelow AverageDifficult
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.Toronto Blue JaysNeutralDifficultDifficult
Francisco LindorNew York MetsNeutralBelow AverageDifficult
Weather

Weather impacts

Published weather context for this matchup.

Temperature
71°F

Weather

Wind
7 mph ENE

Weather

Roof
Retractable

Venue

Weather Label
Neutral

Impact

Summary
Warm, calm

Weather

Premium

Premium Members Unlock

Upgrade to EdgeRanked Premium for the exact model outputs behind these public outlooks.

  • ✓ Exact win probabilities
  • ✓ Projected runs
  • ✓ Simulation distributions
  • ✓ Player projections
  • ✓ Premium matchup analysis