Slate Summary
MLB Model Results — May 15, 2026
Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.
2
Games covered
0
Hitters evaluated
3
Pitchers evaluated
May 15, 2026
Slate date
Home Run Threats
Top Home Run Threat Results
Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded home run projections are available for this slate.
Strikeouts
Pitcher Strikeout Results
Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.
| Pitcher | Opponent | Projected Ks | Actual Ks | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Janson Junk | Tampa Bay Rays | 4.8 | 4 | -0.8 | On Target |
| Trey Yesavage | Detroit Tigers | 4.8 | 6 | +1.2 | |
| Merrill Kelly | Colorado Rockies | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 | On Target |
Hit Probability
Hit Probability Results
Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded hit projections are available for this slate.
Model Highlights
What the Model Got Right
Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.
Top Strikeout Calls
- Trey Yesavage — proj 4.8, recorded 6
Biggest Surprises
- Trey Yesavage — proj 4.8, recorded 6
- Janson Junk — proj 4.8, recorded 4
Highest Performing Projection — Strikeout Projection: Trey Yesavage. Projected 4.8 strikeouts — recorded 6.
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