Slate Summary
MLB Model Results — April 27, 2026
Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.
2
Games covered
3
Hitters evaluated
3
Pitchers evaluated
April 27, 2026
Slate date
Home Run Threats
Top Home Run Threat Results
Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.
| Rank | Player | Team | Matchup | HR Probability | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Michael Conforto | Chicago Cubs | vs Randy Vásquez | 3.9% | No Home Run |
| #2 | Ryan McMahon | — | vs Jack Leiter | 3.5% | No Home Run |
| #3 | José Caballero | — | vs Jack Leiter | 2.9% | No Home Run |
Strikeouts
Pitcher Strikeout Results
Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.
| Pitcher | Opponent | Projected Ks | Actual Ks | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Leiter | New York Yankees | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 | On Target |
| Matthew Boyd | San Diego Padres | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 | On Target |
| Anthony Kay | Los Angeles Angels | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
Hit Probability
Hit Probability Results
Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.
| Player | Team | Matchup | Hit Probability | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| José Caballero | — | vs Jack Leiter | 59.4% | Hit |
| Ryan McMahon | — | vs Jack Leiter | 57.8% | Hit |
| Michael Conforto | Chicago Cubs | vs Randy Vásquez | 55.8% | No Hit |
Model Highlights
What the Model Got Right
Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.
Biggest Surprises
- Anthony Kay — proj 3.2, recorded 2
- Jack Leiter — proj 4.7, recorded 4
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