MLB Results

MLB Model Results — April 27, 2026

Home run threat, strikeout, and hit probability results for this MLB slate.

MLB Model Results — April 27, 2026

Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.

Top Home Run Threat Results

Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.

#1 Michael Conforto— · vs Randy Vásquez 3.9% No Home Run
#2 Ryan McMahon— · vs Jack Leiter 3.5% No Home Run
#3 José Caballero— · vs Jack Leiter 2.9% No Home Run

Pitcher Strikeout Results

Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.

Jack Leitervs New York Yankees 4.7 4 -0.7On target
Matthew Boydvs San Diego Padres 4.1 4 -0.1On target

Hit Probability Results

Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.

José Caballero— · vs Jack Leiter 59.4% Hit
Ryan McMahon— · vs Jack Leiter 57.8% Hit
Michael Conforto— · vs Randy Vásquez 55.8% No Hit

What the Model Got Right

Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.

Biggest Surprises

Live on EdgeRanked

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