MLB Model Results — April 30, 2026
Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.
Top Home Run Threat Results
Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.
| Rank | Player | Team | Matchup | HR Probability | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Zack Gelof | — | vs Michael Wacha | 1.4% | No Home Run |
Pitcher Strikeout Results
Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.
No graded strikeout projections are available for this slate.
Hit Probability Results
Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.
| Player | Team | Matchup | Hit Probability | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zack Gelof | — | vs Michael Wacha | 60.3% | Hit |
What the Model Got Right
Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.
No standout calls were recorded for this slate.
See today's slate the same way
This is a graded past slate. EdgeRanked publishes the same home run, strikeout, and hit probability analysis for today's games before first pitch.
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