AFC East
AFC
| Team | Projected Wins | Projected Losses | Median W | p10–p90 | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NE | 14.15 | 2.85 | 14 | 12–16 | 99.3% |
| BUF | 11.85 | 5.15 | 12 | 10–14 | 89.2% |
| MIA | 4.51 | 12.49 | 4 | 3–6 | 0.1% |
| NYJ | 2.15 | 14.85 | 2 | 1–4 | 0.0% |
2026 NFL preseason outlook
2026 Preseason Season Simulation
Modeled season outlooks from 1,000 simulated seasons. Results are projections with uncertainty, not promises.
Preseason cutoff
2026-08-09T16:20:00-04:00
2026-08-09T16:20:00-04:00
Projected standings
Conference and division outlook
Decimal wins are simulation means; ranges show p10–p90.
AFC North
AFC
| Team | Projected Wins | Projected Losses | Median W | p10–p90 | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAL | 10.38 | 6.62 | 10 | 8–13 | 70.3% |
| PIT | 9.02 | 7.99 | 9 | 7–11 | 36.0% |
| CIN | 6.56 | 10.44 | 7 | 4–9 | 5.3% |
| CLE | 5.6 | 11.4 | 6 | 3–8 | 2.1% |
AFC South
AFC
| Team | Projected Wins | Projected Losses | Median W | p10–p90 | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JAX | 13.6 | 3.4 | 14 | 12–15 | 97.9% |
| HOU | 12.93 | 4.07 | 13 | 11–15 | 94.7% |
| IND | 10.71 | 6.29 | 11 | 9–13 | 61.9% |
| TEN | 1.98 | 15.02 | 2 | 1–4 | 0.0% |
AFC West
AFC
| Team | Projected Wins | Projected Losses | Median W | p10–p90 | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEN | 11.6 | 5.4 | 12 | 9–14 | 84.1% |
| KC | 9.51 | 7.49 | 9 | 8–12 | 37.1% |
| LAC | 8.65 | 8.35 | 9 | 7–11 | 22.0% |
| LV | 2.98 | 14.02 | 3 | 1–5 | 0.0% |
NFC East
NFC
| Team | Projected Wins | Projected Losses | Median W | p10–p90 | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 11.11 | 5.89 | 11 | 9–13 | 94.7% |
| DAL | 7 | 10 | 7 | 5–9 | 10.3% |
| NYG | 5.94 | 11.06 | 6 | 4–8 | 4.0% |
| WAS | 4.32 | 12.68 | 4 | 2–6 | 0.3% |
NFC North
NFC
| Team | Projected Wins | Projected Losses | Median W | p10–p90 | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 12.2 | 4.8 | 12 | 10–14 | 93.2% |
| GB | 9.25 | 7.75 | 9 | 7–11 | 47.1% |
| MIN | 9.04 | 7.96 | 9 | 7–11 | 40.6% |
| CHI | 8.45 | 8.55 | 8 | 6–11 | 29.2% |
NFC South
NFC
| Team | Projected Wins | Projected Losses | Median W | p10–p90 | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TB | 7.8 | 9.2 | 8 | 5–10 | 47.2% |
| ATL | 7.12 | 9.88 | 7 | 5–10 | 31.7% |
| NO | 6.5 | 10.5 | 6 | 4–9 | 18.9% |
| CAR | 5.37 | 11.63 | 5 | 3–8 | 8.2% |
NFC West
NFC
| Team | Projected Wins | Projected Losses | Median W | p10–p90 | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 14.55 | 2.44 | 15 | 13–16 | 99.8% |
| LAR | 13.46 | 3.54 | 14 | 12–15 | 99.6% |
| SF | 10.41 | 6.59 | 10 | 8–12.1 | 75.2% |
| ARI | 3.3 | 13.7 | 3 | 2–5 | 0.0% |
Playoff outlook
Modeled postseason probabilities
| Team | Playoffs | Division | Wild card | Conf. title | Super Bowl Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 99.8% | 69.5% | 30.3% | 60.6% | 37.3% |
| LAR | 99.6% | 28.9% | 70.7% | 28.4% | 15.1% |
| NE | 99.3% | 84.4% | 14.9% | 44.9% | 23.0% |
| JAX | 97.9% | 57.7% | 40.2% | 22.9% | 10.8% |
| HOU | 94.7% | 35.8% | 58.9% | 11.7% | 4.4% |
| PHI | 94.7% | 92.5% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| DET | 93.2% | 74.0% | 19.2% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| BUF | 89.2% | 15.6% | 73.6% | 8.9% | 2.8% |
| DEN | 84.1% | 73.1% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 3.1% |
| SF | 75.2% | 1.6% | 73.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| BAL | 70.3% | 66.2% | 4.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| IND | 61.9% | 6.5% | 55.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| TB | 47.2% | 45.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| GB | 47.1% | 10.6% | 36.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| MIN | 40.6% | 9.2% | 31.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| KC | 37.1% | 17.6% | 19.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| PIT | 36.0% | 28.7% | 7.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| ATL | 31.7% | 29.0% | 2.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| CHI | 29.2% | 6.2% | 23.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| LAC | 22.0% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| NO | 18.9% | 17.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| DAL | 10.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| CAR | 8.2% | 7.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| CIN | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| NYG | 4.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| CLE | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| WAS | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| MIA | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| ARI | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| LV | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| NYJ | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| TEN | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Team outlooks
Compact season cards
Expand a team to review its range, probabilities, scoring outlook, and leading players.
ARI3.3 projected wins · 0.0% playoffs
Win range2–5
Division0.0%
Super Bowl Probability0.0%
Points278.25 for / 525.95 against
Top projected offensive players
- Jeremiyah Love211 FP
- Trey McBride195.6 FP
- Jacoby Brissett187.61 FP
ATL7.12 projected wins · 31.7% playoffs
Win range5–10
Division29.0%
Super Bowl Probability0.0%
Points308.99 for / 357.14 against
Top projected offensive players
- Bijan Robinson312.43 FP
- Tua Tagovailoa199.11 FP
- Kyle Pitts Sr.160.32 FP
BAL10.38 projected wins · 70.3% playoffs
Win range8–13
Division66.2%
Super Bowl Probability0.0%
Points419.83 for / 348.95 against
Top projected offensive players
- Derrick Henry335.82 FP
- Zay Flowers275.72 FP
- Lamar Jackson271.01 FP
BUF11.85 projected wins · 89.2% playoffs
Win range10–14
Division15.6%
Super Bowl Probability2.8%
Points468.35 for / 308.75 against
Top projected offensive players
- James Cook III357.86 FP
- Kyle Allen289.12 FP
- DJ Moore232.11 FP
CAR5.37 projected wins · 8.2% playoffs
Win range3–8
Division7.5%
Super Bowl Probability0.0%
Points247.94 for / 358.38 against
Top projected offensive players
- Tetairoa McMillan197.22 FP
- Chuba Hubbard189.8 FP
- Bryce Young172.32 FP
CHI8.45 projected wins · 29.2% playoffs
Win range6–11
Division6.2%
Super Bowl Probability0.0%
Points391.67 for / 393.51 against
Top projected offensive players
- D'Andre Swift281.45 FP
- Caleb Williams262.57 FP
- Rome Odunze208.99 FP
CIN6.56 projected wins · 5.3% playoffs
Win range4–9
Division3.8%
Super Bowl Probability0.0%
Points375.99 for / 450.26 against
Top projected offensive players
- Chase Brown339.45 FP
- Ja'Marr Chase266.7 FP
- Joe Burrow233.6 FP
CLE5.6 projected wins · 2.1% playoffs
Win range3–8
Division1.3%
Super Bowl Probability0.0%
Points246.14 for / 353.68 against
Top projected offensive players
- Quinshon Judkins207.83 FP
- Jerry Jeudy163.68 FP
- Deshaun Watson161.68 FP
DAL7 projected wins · 10.3% playoffs
Win range5–9
Division5.7%
Super Bowl Probability0.0%
Points444.13 for / 506.28 against
Top projected offensive players
- Javonte Williams338.96 FP
- Dak Prescott297.33 FP
- CeeDee Lamb227 FP
DEN11.6 projected wins · 84.1% playoffs
Win range9–14
Division73.1%
Super Bowl Probability3.1%
Points371.86 for / 240.71 against
Top projected offensive players
- Bo Nix251.69 FP
- J.K. Dobbins221.17 FP
- Jaylen Waddle210.9 FP
DET12.2 projected wins · 93.2% playoffs
Win range10–14
Division74.0%
Super Bowl Probability0.6%
Points497.86 for / 344.56 against
Top projected offensive players
- Jahmyr Gibbs438.92 FP
- Amon-Ra St. Brown317.09 FP
- Jared Goff296.1 FP
GB9.25 projected wins · 47.1% playoffs
Win range7–11
Division10.6%
Super Bowl Probability0.1%
Points361.17 for / 333.95 against
Top projected offensive players
- Josh Jacobs311.03 FP
- Jordan Love231.96 FP
- Matthew Golden165.35 FP
HOU12.93 projected wins · 94.7% playoffs
Win range11–15
Division35.8%
Super Bowl Probability4.4%
Points419.1 for / 236.94 against
Top projected offensive players
- Woody Marks305.38 FP
- C.J. Stroud265.88 FP
- Dalton Schultz192.14 FP
IND10.71 projected wins · 61.9% playoffs
Win range9–13
Division6.5%
Super Bowl Probability0.5%
Points461.06 for / 359.33 against
Top projected offensive players
- Jonathan Taylor391.67 FP
- Daniel Jones302.04 FP
- Tyler Warren230.37 FP
JAX13.6 projected wins · 97.9% playoffs
Win range12–15
Division57.7%
Super Bowl Probability10.8%
Points496.88 for / 268.74 against
Top projected offensive players
- Trevor Lawrence368.47 FP
- Bhayshul Tuten252.17 FP
- Brian Thomas Jr.212.07 FP
KC9.51 projected wins · 37.1% playoffs
Win range8–12
Division17.6%
Super Bowl Probability0.2%
Points326.99 for / 281.29 against
Top projected offensive players
- Kenneth Walker III252.6 FP
- Justin Fields221.64 FP
- Rashee Rice189.25 FP
LAC8.65 projected wins · 22.0% playoffs
Win range7–11
Division9.3%
Super Bowl Probability0.1%
Points314.24 for / 298.67 against
Top projected offensive players
- Justin Herbert226.08 FP
- Omarion Hampton206.76 FP
- Ladd McConkey193.14 FP
LAR13.46 projected wins · 99.6% playoffs
Win range12–15
Division28.9%
Super Bowl Probability15.1%
Points508.57 for / 283.26 against
Top projected offensive players
- Kyren Williams397.62 FP
- Matthew Stafford304.23 FP
- Puka Nacua299.68 FP
LV2.98 projected wins · 0.0% playoffs
Win range1–5
Division0.0%
Super Bowl Probability0.0%
Points195.74 for / 453.12 against
Top projected offensive players
- Ashton Jeanty216.1 FP
- Tre Tucker138.77 FP
- Kirk Cousins124.38 FP
MIA4.51 projected wins · 0.1% playoffs
Win range3–6
Division0.0%
Super Bowl Probability0.0%
Points278.96 for / 450.7 against
Top projected offensive players
- Malik Willis182.75 FP
- Malik Washington182.54 FP
- Jaylen Wright143.54 FP
MIN9.04 projected wins · 40.6% playoffs
Win range7–11
Division9.2%
Super Bowl Probability0.1%
Points314.98 for / 296.37 against
Top projected offensive players
- Justin Jefferson234.89 FP
- Aaron Jones Sr.220.97 FP
- Kyler Murray206.18 FP
NE14.15 projected wins · 99.3% playoffs
Win range12–16
Division84.4%
Super Bowl Probability23.0%
Points505.39 for / 240.38 against
Top projected offensive players
- Drake Maye351.3 FP
- Rhamondre Stevenson318.64 FP
- A.J. Brown244.58 FP
NO6.5 projected wins · 18.9% playoffs
Win range4–9
Division17.7%
Super Bowl Probability0.0%
Points271.74 for / 339.17 against
Top projected offensive players
- Travis Etienne Jr.209.81 FP
- Tyler Shough185.98 FP
- Jordyn Tyson163.61 FP
NYG5.94 projected wins · 4.0% playoffs
Win range4–8
Division1.6%
Super Bowl Probability0.0%
Points340.61 for / 453.25 against
Top projected offensive players
- Jaxson Dart248.6 FP
- Cam Skattebo199.43 FP
- Tyrone Tracy Jr.147.32 FP
NYJ2.15 projected wins · 0.0% playoffs
Win range1–4
Division0.0%
Super Bowl Probability0.0%
Points216.58 for / 535.98 against
Top projected offensive players
- Breece Hall197.17 FP
- Geno Smith149.55 FP
- Adonai Mitchell131.93 FP
PHI11.11 projected wins · 94.7% playoffs
Win range9–13
Division92.5%
Super Bowl Probability1.4%
Points380.49 for / 280.06 against
Top projected offensive players
- Jalen Hurts288.88 FP
- DeVonta Smith220.69 FP
- Tank Bigsby166.73 FP
PIT9.02 projected wins · 36.0% playoffs
Win range7–11
Division28.7%
Super Bowl Probability0.0%
Points361.44 for / 344.72 against
Top projected offensive players
- Jaylen Warren276.86 FP
- Aaron Rodgers223.34 FP
- DK Metcalf203.09 FP
SEA14.55 projected wins · 99.8% playoffs
Win range13–16
Division69.5%
Super Bowl Probability37.3%
Points507.12 for / 225.76 against
Top projected offensive players
- Jadarian Price369.84 FP
- Sam Darnold296.84 FP
- Rashid Shaheed217.88 FP
SF10.41 projected wins · 75.2% playoffs
Win range8–12.1
Division1.6%
Super Bowl Probability0.5%
Points413.66 for / 328.48 against
Top projected offensive players
- Jordan James267.7 FP
- Brock Purdy251.89 FP
- Christian McCaffrey199.63 FP
TB7.8 projected wins · 47.2% playoffs
Win range5–10
Division45.8%
Super Bowl Probability0.0%
Points344.38 for / 375.48 against
Top projected offensive players
- Emeka Egbuka236.17 FP
- Baker Mayfield226.23 FP
- Bucky Irving211.99 FP
TEN1.98 projected wins · 0.0% playoffs
Win range1–4
Division0.0%
Super Bowl Probability0.0%
Points217 for / 534.78 against
Top projected offensive players
- Tony Pollard176.76 FP
- Carnell Tate156.02 FP
- Cam Ward146.31 FP
WAS4.32 projected wins · 0.3% playoffs
Win range2–6
Division0.2%
Super Bowl Probability0.0%
Points305.3 for / 483.81 against
Top projected offensive players
- Jayden Daniels208.11 FP
- Antonio Williams201.82 FP
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt191.02 FP
Player projections
Season totals by position
Means are paired with a fantasy-point p10–p90 range. Medium-confidence preseason roles are marked.
QB projections 64 players
| Player | Passing Yards | Passing TDs | Interceptions | Rushing Yards | Rushing TDs | Fantasy Points | FP p10–p90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor LawrenceJAX | 4,262.83 | 28.8 | 12.13 | 617.54 | 7.96 | 368.47 | 330.43–408.52 |
| Drake MayeNE | 4,294.34 | 28.95 | 12.1 | 617.28 | 4.78 | 351.3 | 313.14–387.99 |
| Matthew StaffordLAR | 4,307.94 | 29.58 | 11.47 | 258.41 | 1.95 | 304.23 | 270.84–338.19 |
| Daniel JonesIND | 4,092.44 | 27.05 | 11.87 | 311.01 | 3.99 | 302.04 | 266.2–337.3 |
| Dak PrescottDAL | 4,080.55 | 27.66 | 11.82 | 296.99 | 3.1 | 297.33 | 260.54–333.14 |
| Sam DarnoldSEA | 4,295.17 | 28.59 | 11.94 | 269.86 | 1.46 | 296.84 | 262.36–332.27 |
| Jared GoffDET | 4,276.08 | 29.49 | 11.96 | 215.78 | 1.71 | 296.1 | 260.5–329.59 |
| Kyle Allen MEDIUMBUF | 4,122.54 | 26.79 | 12.11 | 265.23 | 2.63 | 289.12 | 254.64–324.46 |
| Jalen HurtsPHI | 3,711.39 | 20.52 | 13.93 | 548.91 | 5.62 | 288.88 | 250.1–325.1 |
| Lamar JacksonBAL | 3,903.43 | 23.79 | 12.74 | 349.28 | 1.97 | 271.01 | 236.28–305.05 |
| C.J. StroudHOU | 3,897.59 | 22.55 | 13.36 | 331.25 | 2.47 | 265.88 | 231.6–300.18 |
| Caleb WilliamsCHI | 3,786.41 | 22.34 | 12.72 | 357.3 | 2.17 | 262.57 | 229.28–296.25 |
| Brock PurdySF | 3,858.17 | 23.31 | 12.83 | 203.98 | 1.75 | 251.89 | 220.38–282.93 |
| Bo NixDEN | 3,652.07 | 18.93 | 13.77 | 461.23 | 2.23 | 251.69 | 217.58–286.05 |
| Jaxson DartNYG | 3,505.1 | 19.34 | 13.41 | 380.05 | 3.56 | 248.6 | 213.57–284.87 |
| Joe BurrowCIN | 3,716.43 | 21.7 | 13.15 | 163.96 | 1.46 | 233.6 | 201.66–265.99 |
| Jordan LoveGB | 3,628.46 | 19.65 | 13.54 | 268.79 | 1.59 | 231.96 | 200.2–263.51 |
| Baker MayfieldTB | 3,560.36 | 18.75 | 13.77 | 283.58 | 1.55 | 226.23 | 195.25–260.28 |
| Justin HerbertLAC | 3,332.58 | 15.73 | 14.1 | 412.18 | 3.12 | 226.08 | 193.09–261.71 |
| Aaron RodgersPIT | 3,602.99 | 19.57 | 13.53 | 189.08 | 1.66 | 223.34 | 192.81–254.28 |
| Justin Fields MEDIUMKC | 3,389.47 | 16.43 | 14.13 | 317.16 | 3.04 | 221.64 | 189.43–255.91 |
| Jayden DanielsWAS | 3,313.57 | 16.94 | 13.86 | 265.96 | 1.68 | 208.11 | 174–241.81 |
| Kyler Murray MEDIUMMIN | 3,376.22 | 15.99 | 14.69 | 274.78 | 1.74 | 206.18 | 176.66–238.99 |
| Tua Tagovailoa MEDIUMATL | 3,349.44 | 16.16 | 14.34 | 215.23 | 1.43 | 199.11 | 167.53–229.97 |
| Jacoby BrissettARI | 3,130.08 | 14.98 | 13.61 | 207.5 | 1.65 | 187.61 | 157.22–217.81 |
| Tyler ShoughNO | 3,127.94 | 13.18 | 15.42 | 238.69 | 2.71 | 185.98 | 155.24–217 |
| Malik Willis MEDIUMMIA | 3,136.5 | 14.61 | 14.1 | 204.33 | 1.28 | 182.75 | 153.14–211.33 |
| Bryce YoungCAR | 2,965.07 | 11.92 | 15.07 | 274.07 | 1.69 | 172.32 | 143.15–202.07 |
| Deshaun Watson MEDIUMCLE | 2,951.03 | 11.71 | 15.94 | 226.7 | 1.19 | 161.68 | 132.64–192.05 |
| Geno Smith MEDIUMNYJ | 2,730.17 | 10.58 | 14.74 | 204.09 | 1.34 | 149.55 | 120.92–179.88 |
| Cam WardTEN | 2,745.33 | 10.88 | 15.21 | 177.37 | 1.1 | 146.31 | 119.43–175.21 |
| Kirk Cousins MEDIUMLV | 2,568.92 | 8.95 | 15.48 | 137.04 | 0.63 | 124.38 | 99.93–150 |
| Josh AllenBUF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21.18 | 0.24 | 3.48 | 0.5–8.6 |
| Davis MillsHOU | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 0.18 | 3.11 | 0.49–8.1 |
| Nick MullensJAX | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24.73 | 0.06 | 2.75 | 0.6–5.6 |
| Joe Milton IIIDAL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16.85 | 0.18 | 2.67 | 0.2–7.8 |
| J.J. McCarthyMIN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18.25 | 0.13 | 2.57 | 0.3–7.2 |
| Tommy DeVito MEDIUMNE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22.67 | 0.06 | 2.51 | 0.5–5.11 |
| Jake Browning MEDIUMTB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16.57 | 0.15 | 2.47 | 0.3–7.4 |
| Joshua Dobbs MEDIUMDET | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21.09 | 0.07 | 2.4 | 0.39–4.9 |
| Mac JonesSF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15.11 | 0.15 | 2.34 | 0.1–7 |
| Joe FlaccoCIN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15.9 | 0.14 | 2.33 | 0.1–7 |
| Patrick MahomesKC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16.3 | 0.12 | 2.32 | 0.2–6.8 |
| Drew LockSEA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20.42 | 0.06 | 2.32 | 0.4–4.71 |
| Stetson Bennett IV MEDIUMLAR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20.15 | 0.06 | 2.29 | 0.4–4.8 |
| Michael Penix Jr.ATL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15.5 | 0.12 | 2.23 | 0.1–6.7 |
| Marcus MariotaWAS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15.72 | 0.12 | 2.22 | 0.1–6.51 |
| Jameis WinstonNYG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15.74 | 0.12 | 2.2 | 0.2–6.6 |
| Andy Dalton MEDIUMPHI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19.32 | 0.05 | 2.09 | 0.3–4.3 |
| Tyler HuntleyBAL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17.25 | 0.06 | 2.02 | 0.3–4 |
| Jarrett StidhamDEN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18.77 | 0.04 | 2 | 0.2–4.1 |
| Anthony Richardson Sr. MEDIUMIND | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17.21 | 0.05 | 1.92 | 0.1–4 |
| Shedeur SandersCLE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14.47 | 0.08 | 1.88 | 0.1–4.62 |
| Spencer RattlerNO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13.41 | 0.09 | 1.82 | 0.1–4.7 |
| Tyson BagentCHI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16.27 | 0.04 | 1.8 | 0.2–3.7 |
| Tyrod Taylor MEDIUMGB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16.25 | 0.04 | 1.78 | 0.2–3.5 |
| Trey LanceLAC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16.36 | 0.03 | 1.73 | 0.2–3.6 |
| Mason RudolphPIT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15.67 | 0.03 | 1.67 | 0–3.4 |
| Kenny Pickett MEDIUMCAR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14.73 | 0.02 | 1.54 | 0–3.21 |
| Quinn EwersMIA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13.7 | 0.02 | 1.43 | 0–3.1 |
| Gardner Minshew II MEDIUMARI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12.11 | 0.02 | 1.29 | 0–2.8 |
| Cade Klubnik MEDIUMNYJ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11.29 | 0.03 | 1.25 | 0–2.6 |
| Mitchell Trubisky MEDIUMTEN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10.05 | 0.01 | 1.01 | 0–2.5 |
| Fernando Mendoza MEDIUMLV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9.53 | 0.01 | 0.95 | 0–2.3 |
RB projections 96 players
| Player | Rush Attempts | Rushing Yards | Rushing TDs | Receptions | Receiving Yards | Receiving TDs | Fantasy Points | FP p10–p90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahmyr GibbsDET | 313.8 | 1,806.15 | 19.12 | 60.71 | 638.16 | 4.33 | 438.92 | 385.68–494.2 |
| Kyren WilliamsLAR | 318.9 | 1,840.57 | 18.96 | 42.53 | 443.74 | 3.36 | 397.62 | 346.78–449.91 |
| Jonathan TaylorIND | 327.65 | 1,852.52 | 17.83 | 45.18 | 470.71 | 2.42 | 391.67 | 344.59–441.82 |
| Jadarian Price MEDIUMSEA | 315.25 | 1,804.21 | 16.51 | 40.09 | 420.21 | 2.59 | 369.84 | 324.6–416.41 |
| James Cook IIIBUF | 318.27 | 1,797.4 | 16.66 | 36.62 | 381.27 | 1.79 | 357.86 | 312.29–404.81 |
| Chase BrownCIN | 273.14 | 1,455.09 | 13.04 | 52.13 | 515.23 | 3.07 | 339.45 | 291.28–387.6 |
| Javonte WilliamsDAL | 262.02 | 1,471.24 | 16.15 | 40.58 | 413.46 | 3.15 | 338.96 | 291.89–384.52 |
| Derrick HenryBAL | 314.33 | 1,707.76 | 17.3 | 29.18 | 295.09 | 1.59 | 335.82 | 290.4–381.71 |
| Rhamondre StevensonNE | 245.03 | 1,385.54 | 15.87 | 36.25 | 375.76 | 2.76 | 318.64 | 275.18–361.03 |
| Bijan RobinsonATL | 271.24 | 1,365.18 | 9.34 | 56.96 | 534.72 | 2.64 | 312.43 | 270.07–356.63 |
| Josh JacobsGB | 264.16 | 1,376.35 | 12.3 | 46.6 | 452.91 | 2.29 | 311.03 | 270.19–355.8 |
| Woody MarksHOU | 281.16 | 1,516.1 | 11.93 | 36.45 | 359.57 | 2.66 | 305.38 | 266.19–347.07 |
| D'Andre SwiftCHI | 240.5 | 1,288.28 | 12.03 | 38.66 | 393.15 | 1.32 | 281.45 | 241.2–325.42 |
| Jaylen WarrenPIT | 256.07 | 1,344.23 | 10.56 | 37.38 | 366.35 | 1.83 | 276.86 | 236.78–317.81 |
| Jordan James MEDIUMSF | 232.36 | 1,265.99 | 10.31 | 36.31 | 363.38 | 2 | 267.7 | 227.49–305.71 |
| Kenneth Walker III MEDIUMKC | 256.01 | 1,302.09 | 8.16 | 36.12 | 340.52 | 1.52 | 252.6 | 217.78–288.33 |
| Bhayshul TutenJAX | 224.75 | 1,285.73 | 11.53 | 24.06 | 253.51 | 1.69 | 252.17 | 214.4–291.53 |
| J.K. DobbinsDEN | 239.97 | 1,245.59 | 9.55 | 20.36 | 199.26 | 0.76 | 221.17 | 186.39–257.42 |
| Aaron Jones Sr.MIN | 221.03 | 1,114.55 | 6.56 | 34.52 | 327.66 | 1.35 | 220.97 | 184.69–256.62 |
| Ashton JeantyLV | 227.49 | 1,035.29 | 5.28 | 42.24 | 364.38 | 1.25 | 216.1 | 181.48–250.21 |
| TreVeyon HendersonNE | 180.59 | 1,034.49 | 9.49 | 23.5 | 249.58 | 1.26 | 212.27 | 179.5–246.64 |
| Bucky IrvingTB | 211.32 | 1,106.08 | 5.34 | 32.84 | 318.37 | 1.58 | 211.99 | 178.69–246.11 |
| Jeremiyah Love MEDIUMARI | 206.62 | 1,033.33 | 6.73 | 32.79 | 306.65 | 1.41 | 211 | 176.59–245.84 |
| Travis Etienne Jr. MEDIUMNO | 233.82 | 1,137.9 | 6.17 | 29.8 | 274.3 | 1.2 | 209.81 | 177.7–244.02 |
| Quinshon JudkinsCLE | 246.29 | 1,175.8 | 6.59 | 27.35 | 247.58 | 0.72 | 207.83 | 175.3–241.93 |
| Omarion HamptonLAC | 203.49 | 1,024.52 | 7.26 | 30.59 | 289.25 | 1 | 206.76 | 173.39–241.53 |
| Christian McCaffrey MEDIUMSF | 120.87 | 654.77 | 6.68 | 40.72 | 405.98 | 2.57 | 199.63 | 166.78–234.01 |
| Cam Skattebo MEDIUMNYG | 163.05 | 846.13 | 7.54 | 32.11 | 312.02 | 1.68 | 199.43 | 165.19–233.51 |
| Breece HallNYJ | 209.83 | 988.7 | 5.13 | 33.77 | 302.4 | 1.4 | 197.17 | 164.59–232.32 |
| Jacory Croskey-MerrittWAS | 200.34 | 1,019.97 | 7.6 | 21.51 | 207.47 | 0.97 | 191.02 | 161.47–226 |
| Chuba HubbardCAR | 196.44 | 934.64 | 5.26 | 32.58 | 294.29 | 1.22 | 189.8 | 159.1–221.22 |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. MEDIUMJAX | 170.13 | 972.76 | 9.46 | 15.3 | 159.89 | 1 | 187.38 | 154.69–221.12 |
| RJ HarveyDEN | 159.24 | 818.58 | 7.9 | 26.13 | 250.33 | 1.5 | 185.71 | 153.19–217.61 |
| Blake CorumLAR | 151.95 | 873 | 9.75 | 15.69 | 167.62 | 0.82 | 179.76 | 148.2–209.83 |
| Tony PollardTEN | 204.88 | 971.61 | 4.63 | 27.47 | 250.88 | 0.68 | 176.76 | 146.16–207.51 |
| Isiah Pacheco MEDIUMDET | 139.37 | 802.68 | 8.37 | 17.83 | 188.2 | 1.17 | 170.99 | 139.3–204.2 |
| Rico Dowdle MEDIUMPIT | 150.97 | 788.84 | 6.69 | 24.32 | 235.7 | 1.14 | 170.38 | 138.19–200.61 |
| Kenny Gainwell MEDIUMTB | 127.3 | 650.65 | 5.96 | 31.01 | 295.57 | 1.78 | 169.16 | 138.5–201.62 |
| Tank BigsbyPHI | 169.69 | 896.2 | 7.06 | 16.78 | 163.89 | 0.93 | 166.73 | 137.09–197.81 |
| Kyle MonangaiCHI | 138.15 | 743.41 | 7.04 | 20.39 | 202.56 | 1.09 | 160.64 | 130.5–194.21 |
| Jordan MasonMIN | 164.09 | 822.31 | 6.66 | 14.38 | 135.78 | 0.51 | 149.28 | 119.99–179.92 |
| Tyrone Tracy Jr.NYG | 128.25 | 677.85 | 3.98 | 25.78 | 252.55 | 1.28 | 147.32 | 120.6–175 |
| Saquon Barkley MEDIUMPHI | 137.07 | 730.45 | 4.83 | 20.55 | 205.19 | 1.05 | 146.27 | 119.48–173.01 |
| Jaylen Wright MEDIUMMIA | 142.31 | 707.06 | 5.28 | 20.84 | 196.94 | 0.66 | 143.54 | 115.99–173.13 |
| De'Von Achane MEDIUMMIA | 103.36 | 520.77 | 2.43 | 34.42 | 324.49 | 1.33 | 139.1 | 115.4–166.83 |
| Kimani VidalLAC | 146.25 | 735.83 | 5.1 | 17.26 | 159.87 | 0.81 | 139.04 | 111.29–167.24 |
| Ray DavisBUF | 111.25 | 622.18 | 6.52 | 16.23 | 166.48 | 1.18 | 138.78 | 109.44–168.11 |
| Zach CharbonnetSEA | 105.76 | 592.06 | 8.57 | 12.32 | 130.48 | 0.54 | 136.85 | 108.37–165.4 |
| Rachaad White MEDIUMWAS | 116.93 | 591.23 | 5.23 | 20.94 | 198.9 | 1.15 | 135.38 | 107.29–164.94 |
| MarShawn Lloyd MEDIUMGB | 122.14 | 641.2 | 4.82 | 19.32 | 190 | 0.93 | 134.08 | 107.98–161.23 |
| Kaelon Black MEDIUMSF | 104.78 | 567.03 | 5.14 | 16.11 | 159.86 | 0.84 | 122.34 | 96.5–148.21 |
| Samaje PerineCIN | 109.57 | 585.87 | 5.21 | 15.43 | 153.95 | 0.69 | 122.2 | 96.27–148.61 |
| Emmett Johnson MEDIUMKC | 120.8 | 612.88 | 4.39 | 16.97 | 161.18 | 0.65 | 121.78 | 97.89–149.1 |
| Justice HillBAL | 89.03 | 483.75 | 4.28 | 20.87 | 211.38 | 0.85 | 119.2 | 95.27–144.71 |
| George HolaniSEA | 101.52 | 580.78 | 5.68 | 11.9 | 125.02 | 0.69 | 118.34 | 93.1–144.24 |
| Jawhar JordanHOU | 110.93 | 598.18 | 4.74 | 13.33 | 133.8 | 0.58 | 115.95 | 92.59–139.51 |
| Ollie Gordon IIMIA | 100.03 | 495.07 | 4.57 | 14.64 | 136.78 | 0.63 | 106.82 | 82.09–132.84 |
| DJ GiddensIND | 87.28 | 492.74 | 4.89 | 12.5 | 127.58 | 0.81 | 106.8 | 81.89–133.6 |
| Jonathon Brooks MEDIUMCAR | 119.75 | 569.33 | 3.49 | 14.84 | 132.78 | 0.47 | 106.11 | 82.08–129.8 |
| Jaydon BlueDAL | 86.55 | 489.66 | 4.71 | 11.67 | 123.99 | 0.69 | 103.57 | 78.39–129.61 |
| Brian Robinson Jr. MEDIUMATL | 105.92 | 531.65 | 3.85 | 12.6 | 119.7 | 0.56 | 101.68 | 79.29–126.21 |
| Will ShipleyPHI | 93.5 | 494.92 | 3.73 | 13.85 | 137.23 | 0.64 | 101.12 | 80–124.4 |
| Tyler Allgeier MEDIUMARI | 101.06 | 503.46 | 3.91 | 13.72 | 128.65 | 0.51 | 101.11 | 77.2–126.7 |
| David Montgomery MEDIUMHOU | 83.25 | 442.67 | 5.14 | 11.84 | 121.42 | 0.28 | 98.82 | 75.4–122.5 |
| Dylan SampsonCLE | 92.97 | 446.41 | 2.24 | 19.37 | 174.53 | 0.76 | 97.26 | 75.9–118.61 |
| Tyjae SpearsTEN | 78.09 | 365.39 | 2.39 | 20.27 | 180.46 | 0.76 | 91.8 | 70.39–115.81 |
| Devin NealNO | 87.51 | 423.75 | 2.66 | 13.07 | 120.39 | 0.42 | 83.92 | 64.5–103.51 |
| Ty JohnsonBUF | 43.08 | 242.84 | 2.87 | 15.22 | 160.67 | 0.63 | 75.6 | 54.89–96.21 |
| Sean TuckerTB | 58.1 | 290.83 | 4.46 | 8.48 | 82.21 | 0.38 | 73.46 | 51.8–96.2 |
| Mike Washington Jr. MEDIUMLV | 82.41 | 372.43 | 1.81 | 12.45 | 108.26 | 0.3 | 71.25 | 53.1–90 |
| Devin SingletaryNYG | 58.62 | 305.03 | 2.71 | 10.61 | 106.05 | 0.36 | 68.89 | 50.29–89.51 |
| Alvin Kamara MEDIUMNO | 61.99 | 305.31 | 1.2 | 13.79 | 127.48 | 0.52 | 65.93 | 49.49–83 |
| Braelon AllenNYJ | 68.56 | 318.55 | 2.37 | 9.88 | 87.68 | 0.4 | 65.5 | 46.29–86.11 |
| LeQuint Allen Jr.JAX | 37.48 | 218.53 | 1.47 | 8.47 | 89.76 | 0.33 | 49.13 | 34.79–65.31 |
| Chris BrooksGB | 28.01 | 146.84 | 0.65 | 12.28 | 119.63 | 0.46 | 44.93 | 31.1–59.2 |
| Emari Demercado MEDIUMKC | 36.62 | 189.92 | 0.78 | 9.22 | 88.64 | 0.27 | 42.51 | 28.89–56.62 |
| Malik DavisDAL | 35.47 | 201.29 | 1.53 | 6.02 | 64.89 | 0.1 | 41.63 | 27.9–55.91 |
| Seth McGowan MEDIUMIND | 28.98 | 164.98 | 1.35 | 7.77 | 83.73 | 0.13 | 40.82 | 27.2–56.11 |
| Terrell JenningsNE | 34.87 | 197.49 | 1.83 | 4.91 | 53.42 | 0.09 | 40.69 | 25.8–56.3 |
| Keaton Mitchell MEDIUMLAC | 37.99 | 191.23 | 0.83 | 8.1 | 78.15 | 0.1 | 39.73 | 27.8–52.71 |
| Jonah Coleman MEDIUMDEN | 33.48 | 174.83 | 1.19 | 7.27 | 72.72 | 0.09 | 38.95 | 26–53.7 |
| Isaiah DavisNYJ | 28.3 | 134.53 | 0.49 | 10.92 | 97.07 | 0.2 | 37.53 | 25.59–51.21 |
| Rasheen AliBAL | 22.61 | 123.73 | 0.8 | 8.77 | 91.29 | 0.25 | 36.11 | 23.5–49.7 |
| Demond Claiborne MEDIUMMIN | 31.39 | 157.06 | 0.96 | 6.49 | 64.2 | 0.09 | 34.15 | 22.1–47.1 |
| Trevor EtienneCAR | 38.8 | 185.51 | 0.77 | 5.72 | 53.71 | 0.06 | 33.7 | 21.6–47.12 |
| Kaytron Allen MEDIUMWAS | 26.84 | 137.78 | 0.84 | 6.94 | 67.77 | 0.07 | 32.42 | 20.9–45.21 |
| James Conner MEDIUMARI | 27.11 | 134.19 | 1.13 | 5.92 | 56.57 | 0.11 | 31.78 | 19.3–45.31 |
| Ronnie RiversLAR | 24.71 | 144.38 | 1.04 | 5 | 55.27 | 0.09 | 31.24 | 19.4–44.3 |
| Kaleb JohnsonPIT | 28.92 | 153.1 | 0.73 | 5.45 | 54.75 | 0.07 | 30.37 | 19.5–42.42 |
| Sione Vaki MEDIUMDET | 22.02 | 125.85 | 1.23 | 4.58 | 50.36 | 0.08 | 29.52 | 17.68–42.41 |
| Raheim SandersCLE | 28.63 | 136.09 | 1.08 | 4.99 | 46.82 | 0.05 | 29.41 | 18.58–42.4 |
| Tahj BrooksCIN | 23.14 | 125.19 | 0.66 | 5.08 | 51.44 | 0.07 | 26.64 | 16.5–37.6 |
| Tyler Goodson MEDIUMATL | 22.88 | 114.4 | 0.7 | 5.16 | 49.9 | 0.08 | 25.76 | 15.4–37.01 |
| Roschon JohnsonCHI | 19.02 | 104.2 | 0.72 | 4.9 | 51.33 | 0.06 | 24.74 | 14.8–35.61 |
| Nicholas Singleton MEDIUMTEN | 20.1 | 95.72 | 0.52 | 5.83 | 53.75 | 0.07 | 23.87 | 14.1–34.11 |
| Dylan LaubeLV | 15.23 | 69.35 | 0.26 | 4.61 | 40.71 | 0.04 | 17.07 | 9.3–26.11 |
WR projections 128 players
| Player | Targets | Receptions | Receiving Yards | Receiving TDs | Fantasy Points | FP p10–p90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amon-Ra St. BrownDET | 175.13 | 124.54 | 1,297.35 | 10.12 | 317.09 | 274.47–360.74 |
| Puka NacuaLAR | 169.77 | 120.32 | 1,278.46 | 7.09 | 299.68 | 259.49–338.5 |
| Zay FlowersBAL | 173.13 | 116.11 | 1,174.46 | 6.41 | 275.72 | 238.49–314.72 |
| Ja'Marr ChaseCIN | 175.17 | 114.1 | 1,128.89 | 6.39 | 266.7 | 227.1–308.91 |
| A.J. Brown MEDIUMNE | 141.99 | 100.19 | 1,048.46 | 6.46 | 244.58 | 205.66–283.31 |
| Emeka EgbukaTB | 162.45 | 102.26 | 989.01 | 5.11 | 236.17 | 203.17–272.9 |
| Justin JeffersonMIN | 177.05 | 106.47 | 1,001.35 | 4.53 | 234.89 | 199.29–270.91 |
| DJ Moore MEDIUMBUF | 136.32 | 94.45 | 971.79 | 6.21 | 232.11 | 196.29–269.12 |
| CeeDee LambDAL | 133.91 | 93.27 | 966.8 | 6.07 | 227 | 190.2–266.2 |
| Josh DownsIND | 130.36 | 90.05 | 932.07 | 6.41 | 222.78 | 187.39–258.81 |
| DeVonta SmithPHI | 150.22 | 96.22 | 944.46 | 4.95 | 220.69 | 187–255.01 |
| Rashid ShaheedSEA | 126.28 | 88.33 | 928.47 | 5.45 | 217.88 | 184.39–252.41 |
| Brian Thomas Jr. MEDIUMJAX | 123.17 | 86.74 | 913.66 | 5.3 | 212.07 | 179.3–247.31 |
| Jaylen Waddle MEDIUMDEN | 147.39 | 92.51 | 896.15 | 4.64 | 210.9 | 177.1–243.5 |
| Rome OdunzeCHI | 134.03 | 88.65 | 877.05 | 5.39 | 208.99 | 174.48–244.5 |
| DK MetcalfPIT | 139.13 | 88.03 | 854.4 | 4.72 | 203.09 | 169.98–238.11 |
| Antonio Williams MEDIUMWAS | 146.89 | 89.61 | 852.94 | 4.38 | 201.82 | 169.66–236.6 |
| Davante AdamsLAR | 109.72 | 78.1 | 816.72 | 6.5 | 198.8 | 163.48–232.11 |
| Tetairoa McMillanCAR | 166.11 | 93.28 | 844.77 | 3.2 | 197.22 | 164.19–230.4 |
| Ladd McConkeyLAC | 145.83 | 87.58 | 820.53 | 3.86 | 193.14 | 160.89–227.31 |
| George PickensDAL | 112.66 | 78.54 | 808.66 | 5.6 | 193.01 | 158.32–228.7 |
| Mike Evans MEDIUMSF | 122.24 | 81.41 | 813.16 | 4.95 | 192.9 | 160.4–226.93 |
| Rashee RiceKC | 131.06 | 79.46 | 740.97 | 4.59 | 189.25 | 155.68–222.31 |
| Parker WashingtonJAX | 104.57 | 73.36 | 758.84 | 5.76 | 187.44 | 154.09–219.72 |
| Malik WashingtonMIA | 135.08 | 79.82 | 743.19 | 3.72 | 182.54 | 153.09–213.61 |
| Khalil ShakirBUF | 106 | 73.44 | 752.29 | 5.2 | 180.06 | 145.39–214.22 |
| Jayden HigginsHOU | 114.95 | 75.43 | 752.97 | 4.26 | 176.68 | 145.17–209.91 |
| Romeo Doubs MEDIUMNE | 96.08 | 67.93 | 703.28 | 5.12 | 168.97 | 137.09–201.1 |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. MEDIUMSF | 102.61 | 68.47 | 684.4 | 4.32 | 165.89 | 135.77–197.14 |
| Matthew Golden MEDIUMGB | 113.66 | 72.11 | 708.22 | 3.11 | 165.35 | 136.09–195.63 |
| Jerry JeudyCLE | 138.6 | 77.03 | 695.28 | 2.76 | 163.68 | 135.99–195.11 |
| Cooper KuppSEA | 92.94 | 65.33 | 675.87 | 5.12 | 163.62 | 134.19–195.62 |
| Jordyn Tyson MEDIUMNO | 130.9 | 75.24 | 694.54 | 3.04 | 163.61 | 134.6–194.8 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba MEDIUMSEA | 94.69 | 66.42 | 690.25 | 4.41 | 163.32 | 131.86–195.31 |
| Carnell Tate MEDIUMTEN | 134.51 | 73.98 | 658.82 | 2.61 | 156.02 | 128.19–184 |
| Jakobi Meyers MEDIUMJAX | 87.5 | 61.68 | 647.36 | 4.04 | 155.01 | 125.22–185.53 |
| Troy FranklinDEN | 104.59 | 66.16 | 637.94 | 3.63 | 152.78 | 124.58–182.51 |
| Nico Collins MEDIUMHOU | 97.39 | 63.94 | 636.97 | 3.6 | 150.56 | 122.2–179.51 |
| Tee HigginsCIN | 96.82 | 63.26 | 618.27 | 4.05 | 149.37 | 119.29–179.42 |
| Jahan Dotson MEDIUMATL | 109.5 | 65.78 | 618.71 | 3.06 | 146.5 | 118.2–175.23 |
| Luther Burden III MEDIUMCHI | 90.44 | 59.66 | 592.3 | 3.57 | 141.3 | 114.08–169.3 |
| Xavier HutchinsonHOU | 90.03 | 59.11 | 588.13 | 3.52 | 139.99 | 111.7–170.1 |
| Tre TuckerLV | 126.89 | 66.65 | 580.07 | 1.84 | 138.77 | 113.09–164.5 |
| Quentin JohnstonLAC | 103.75 | 62.45 | 583.9 | 2.91 | 138.68 | 111.59–166.91 |
| Darius SlaytonNYG | 94.81 | 59.64 | 575.15 | 3.18 | 136.23 | 110.19–164.31 |
| Michael WilsonARI | 102.13 | 60.62 | 562.83 | 2.76 | 133.45 | 107.29–162.31 |
| Xavier WorthyKC | 98.54 | 59.45 | 561.61 | 2.55 | 132.95 | 107.5–159.02 |
| Makai Lemon MEDIUMPHI | 89.54 | 57.27 | 562.01 | 3.24 | 132.93 | 105.39–158.14 |
| Marvin Harrison Jr.ARI | 101.09 | 60.12 | 556.81 | 2.8 | 132.82 | 107.07–159.51 |
| Jordan AddisonMIN | 98.15 | 59 | 557.81 | 2.82 | 132.14 | 106.78–158.81 |
| Adonai MitchellNYJ | 114.67 | 63.1 | 561.9 | 2.03 | 131.93 | 105.69–158.71 |
| Malik Nabers MEDIUMNYG | 90.48 | 57.17 | 555.1 | 3.07 | 131.36 | 103.88–161.74 |
| Chris Godwin Jr. MEDIUMTB | 88.36 | 55.38 | 530 | 3.15 | 127.28 | 101.18–155.23 |
| Isaac TeSlaa MEDIUMDET | 68.55 | 48.88 | 512.38 | 4.15 | 124.99 | 97.69–154.3 |
| Wan'Dale Robinson MEDIUMTEN | 105.37 | 57.83 | 519.34 | 1.93 | 121.55 | 96.6–146.81 |
| Savion Williams MEDIUMGB | 80.22 | 50.92 | 491.65 | 3.11 | 120.79 | 95.07–148.21 |
| Jalen Tolbert MEDIUMMIA | 91.14 | 53.86 | 496.99 | 2.36 | 117.73 | 94.49–143 |
| Christian WatsonGB | 81.4 | 51.62 | 505.44 | 2.39 | 117.33 | 92.09–141.81 |
| Ashton Dulin MEDIUMIND | 65.44 | 45.39 | 467.3 | 3.19 | 112.26 | 86.59–139.61 |
| Chris Olave MEDIUMNO | 89.32 | 51.37 | 472.52 | 1.99 | 110.68 | 87.39–135.62 |
| KC Concepcion MEDIUMCLE | 92.49 | 51.49 | 465.3 | 2.06 | 110.39 | 85.29–136.1 |
| Olamide Zaccheaus MEDIUMATL | 80.64 | 48.54 | 454.5 | 2.33 | 108.43 | 83.79–134.2 |
| Courtland Sutton MEDIUMDEN | 74.75 | 46.93 | 450.41 | 2.5 | 106.96 | 83.28–133.24 |
| Roman Wilson MEDIUMPIT | 72.89 | 46.28 | 451.36 | 2.45 | 106.1 | 81.8–131.61 |
| Darnell Mooney MEDIUMNYG | 73.79 | 46.46 | 454.73 | 2.24 | 105.93 | 81.6–130.51 |
| Jameson Williams MEDIUMDET | 59.89 | 42.8 | 454.99 | 2.44 | 104.68 | 81.19–127.51 |
| Omar Cooper Jr. MEDIUMNYJ | 89.7 | 49.09 | 441.91 | 1.72 | 103.6 | 80.7–128.21 |
| Devontez Walker MEDIUMBAL | 65.2 | 43.53 | 433.78 | 2.7 | 103.1 | 78.39–128.02 |
| Alec PierceIND | 61.25 | 42.38 | 440.95 | 2.54 | 101.73 | 77.3–127.8 |
| Jalen CokerCAR | 84.97 | 47.63 | 427.12 | 1.85 | 101.47 | 77.7–126.51 |
| Ryan FlournoyDAL | 60.18 | 41.92 | 435.38 | 2.33 | 100.56 | 76.69–126.6 |
| Terry McLaurinWAS | 73.57 | 44.72 | 425.71 | 2.06 | 100.05 | 76.1–125.5 |
| Michael Pittman Jr. MEDIUMPIT | 67.93 | 43.02 | 421.22 | 2.34 | 99.19 | 75.49–123.7 |
| Jauan Jennings MEDIUMMIN | 73.14 | 44.02 | 414.35 | 2.04 | 98.31 | 75.98–122.61 |
| Luke McCaffrey MEDIUMWAS | 70 | 42.78 | 405.4 | 2.31 | 97.16 | 75–120.44 |
| Kayshon BoutteNE | 57.19 | 40.24 | 422.58 | 2.29 | 96.87 | 73.58–120.9 |
| Ja'Kobi Lane MEDIUMBAL | 61.16 | 41.01 | 414.88 | 2.2 | 96.47 | 73.77–119.75 |
| Greg Dortch MEDIUMDET | 51.25 | 36.52 | 385.86 | 2.28 | 94.72 | 70.99–119.41 |
| Joshua PalmerBUF | 56.57 | 39.34 | 406.74 | 2.28 | 94.27 | 71.5–117.92 |
| Germie Bernard MEDIUMPIT | 65.4 | 41.64 | 408.22 | 1.85 | 94.23 | 73.29–116.42 |
| Drake London MEDIUMATL | 68.21 | 40.84 | 386.69 | 1.99 | 91.46 | 69.7–116.9 |
| Jalen Nailor MEDIUMLV | 83.16 | 43.95 | 382.63 | 1.5 | 91.4 | 71.08–112.65 |
| Christian Kirk MEDIUMSF | 58.59 | 39 | 391.13 | 2.13 | 91.36 | 68.97–114.5 |
| Andrei IosivasCIN | 60.21 | 39.42 | 391.95 | 1.94 | 91.3 | 69.5–114.9 |
| Xavier LegetteCAR | 75.42 | 42.41 | 378.94 | 1.51 | 89.98 | 69.09–111.11 |
| Chimere DikeTEN | 71.03 | 38.98 | 347.32 | 1.62 | 89.03 | 67.5–112.32 |
| Devaughn VeleNO | 71.27 | 40.95 | 376.83 | 1.73 | 89.02 | 67.6–111.43 |
| Nick Westbrook-Ikhine MEDIUMIND | 53.58 | 37.02 | 384.28 | 2.14 | 88.85 | 66.39–111.61 |
| Keon Coleman MEDIUMBUF | 52.23 | 36.18 | 368.81 | 2.58 | 88.51 | 64.77–112.71 |
| Kalif Raymond MEDIUMCHI | 57.55 | 37.93 | 381.93 | 1.79 | 87.67 | 65.9–109.84 |
| Dontayvion Wicks MEDIUMPHI | 59.67 | 38.08 | 375.44 | 1.66 | 86.33 | 65.78–108.31 |
| Pat BryantDEN | 60.53 | 38.05 | 367.57 | 1.72 | 85.97 | 64.99–108.51 |
| Stefon Diggs MEDIUMWAS | 62.63 | 38.1 | 363.25 | 1.8 | 85.24 | 64.79–107 |
| Tory HortonSEA | 49.4 | 34.85 | 366 | 2.15 | 84.94 | 62.89–109.9 |
| Mack Hollins MEDIUMNE | 49.91 | 35.28 | 370.19 | 2.03 | 84.7 | 63.1–107.41 |
| Jordan WhittingtonLAR | 48.91 | 34.69 | 373.11 | 1.81 | 84.32 | 63.18–106.52 |
| Tre' HarrisLAC | 62.41 | 37.48 | 356.38 | 1.38 | 82.41 | 61.08–103.83 |
| Tyquan Thornton MEDIUMKC | 60.82 | 36.72 | 349.12 | 1.4 | 80.52 | 60.8–102.4 |
| Rashod Bateman MEDIUMBAL | 47.47 | 31.87 | 317.82 | 2.35 | 77.78 | 56.59–100.9 |
| Kendrick Bourne MEDIUMARI | 58.68 | 34.97 | 330.21 | 1.19 | 75.49 | 55.8–95.6 |
| Tutu Atwell MEDIUMMIA | 58.5 | 34.55 | 324.87 | 1.21 | 74.73 | 54.98–94.41 |
| Denzel Boston MEDIUMCLE | 61.92 | 34.64 | 315.94 | 1.08 | 73.39 | 54.7–93.31 |
| Zachariah Branch MEDIUMATL | 54.96 | 33.34 | 315.43 | 1.29 | 73.25 | 54.19–93.2 |
| Hollywood Brown MEDIUMPHI | 47.81 | 30.66 | 303.64 | 1.61 | 70.68 | 51.19–90.71 |
| Jalen McMillan MEDIUMTB | 49.22 | 30.92 | 299.11 | 1.28 | 69.35 | 51.49–88.8 |
| Bryce Lance MEDIUMNO | 55.41 | 31.88 | 294.36 | 1.1 | 68.55 | 50.3–87.31 |
| Travis Hunter MEDIUMJAX | 38.02 | 26.8 | 281.81 | 1.94 | 66.63 | 47.29–87.91 |
| KaVontae TurpinDAL | 37.42 | 25.92 | 265.15 | 1.71 | 65.71 | 47.17–84.92 |
| Jayden ReedGB | 43.26 | 27.54 | 265.12 | 1.74 | 64.96 | 46–84.1 |
| Jaylin NoelHOU | 40.54 | 26.6 | 265.22 | 1.54 | 64.22 | 45.1–85.2 |
| Calvin Austin III MEDIUMNYG | 45.58 | 28.57 | 278.42 | 1.28 | 64.08 | 46.89–82.62 |
| Tim Patrick MEDIUMNYJ | 52.53 | 29.13 | 257.68 | 0.96 | 61.06 | 43.4–80.31 |
| Zavion Thomas MEDIUMCHI | 37.82 | 24.8 | 245.44 | 1.47 | 58.17 | 40.5–77.11 |
| Xavier SmithLAR | 32.86 | 23.37 | 249.01 | 1.57 | 57.67 | 39.7–77.61 |
| Jimmy Horn Jr. MEDIUMCAR | 47.07 | 26.4 | 238.84 | 0.8 | 56.4 | 40.1–73.81 |
| Garrett Wilson MEDIUMNYJ | 49.61 | 27.21 | 242.68 | 0.79 | 56.23 | 40.18–72.31 |
| Ted Hurst III MEDIUMTB | 38.53 | 24.3 | 235.17 | 1.28 | 55.53 | 37.79–73.8 |
| Xavier WeaverARI | 43 | 25.42 | 240.65 | 0.87 | 54.72 | 38–72.11 |
| Jack BechLV | 51 | 26.79 | 232 | 0.7 | 54.48 | 38.9–71.51 |
| Caleb Douglas MEDIUMMIA | 42.06 | 24.84 | 230.3 | 1.05 | 54.19 | 38.4–70.5 |
| Jacob Cowing MEDIUMSF | 33.97 | 22.6 | 225.58 | 1.33 | 53.13 | 35.9–70.63 |
| Colbie Young MEDIUMCIN | 34.93 | 22.59 | 223.44 | 1.34 | 52.98 | 35.19–72.12 |
| Brenen Thompson MEDIUMLAC | 38.41 | 22.93 | 217.8 | 0.94 | 50.34 | 34.4–67.82 |
| Cedric TillmanCLE | 40.71 | 22.63 | 205.08 | 0.84 | 48.18 | 32.89–65 |
| Calvin RidleyTEN | 36.42 | 20.09 | 179.39 | 0.65 | 41.92 | 28.69–57.13 |
| Dont'e Thornton Jr.LV | 35.32 | 18.79 | 162.75 | 0.51 | 38.12 | 25.4–51.91 |
| Jalen Royals MEDIUMKC | 26.98 | 16.45 | 156.58 | 0.76 | 36.64 | 23–51.8 |
| Tai FeltonMIN | 24.13 | 14.46 | 136.72 | 0.67 | 32.14 | 19.49–46.6 |
TE projections 64 players
| Player | Targets | Receptions | Receiving Yards | Receiving TDs | Fantasy Points | FP p10–p90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler WarrenIND | 133.28 | 92.16 | 938.45 | 7.39 | 230.37 | 193.17–266.51 |
| Hunter HenryNE | 112.69 | 79.58 | 814.67 | 7.25 | 204.58 | 168.99–240.44 |
| Jake FergusonDAL | 111.08 | 77.53 | 792.05 | 6.61 | 196.39 | 164.07–231.81 |
| Trey McBrideARI | 146.02 | 87.01 | 808.4 | 4.63 | 195.6 | 163.08–229.51 |
| Dalton SchultzHOU | 124.96 | 82.02 | 817.74 | 4.72 | 192.14 | 159.29–224.81 |
| Nate Boerkircher MEDIUMJAX | 107.28 | 75.84 | 786.96 | 5.97 | 190.33 | 155.67–225.62 |
| Mark AndrewsBAL | 115.1 | 76.97 | 763.01 | 6.16 | 190.23 | 158.59–225.01 |
| Colston LovelandCHI | 112.21 | 74.27 | 724.14 | 5.47 | 179.5 | 146.99–212.72 |
| Travis KelceKC | 129.6 | 78.68 | 742.65 | 3.54 | 174.18 | 144.47–205.72 |
| AJ BarnerSEA | 95.5 | 67.27 | 693.46 | 5.83 | 171.58 | 139.38–203.82 |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.ATL | 119.58 | 72.37 | 684.34 | 3.25 | 160.32 | 130.86–192.25 |
| Colby ParkinsonLAR | 85.49 | 60.63 | 626.71 | 5.97 | 159.12 | 129.09–190.31 |
| Cade OttonTB | 105.77 | 66.28 | 640.47 | 3.18 | 149.38 | 122.49–179.11 |
| Tucker KraftGB | 99.25 | 62.81 | 602.13 | 4.25 | 148.55 | 118.76–179.8 |
| Eli Stowers MEDIUMPHI | 97.34 | 62.25 | 608.93 | 3.66 | 145.12 | 116–175.21 |
| Harold Fannin Jr.CLE | 122.66 | 67.93 | 612.06 | 2.62 | 144.88 | 118.59–171.9 |
| Isaiah Likely MEDIUMNYG | 96.37 | 60.76 | 586.9 | 3.72 | 141.76 | 112.19–172.52 |
| Chig Okonkwo MEDIUMWAS | 101.63 | 62.41 | 597.28 | 3.13 | 140.92 | 114.25–168.4 |
| Dalton KincaidBUF | 80.69 | 55.81 | 570.64 | 4.16 | 137.8 | 110.79–167.42 |
| Juwan JohnsonNO | 111.88 | 63.89 | 583.95 | 2.4 | 136.68 | 110.78–163.81 |
| Evan EngramDEN | 93.8 | 59.09 | 573.74 | 3.14 | 135.32 | 109.69–163.31 |
| Oronde GadsdenLAC | 100.59 | 60.13 | 557.22 | 3.14 | 134.67 | 107.08–162.72 |
| T.J. HockensonMIN | 95.64 | 57.61 | 542.24 | 2.7 | 128.03 | 101.69–153.93 |
| Pat FreiermuthPIT | 86.19 | 54.47 | 526.21 | 3.23 | 126.5 | 100.69–155.62 |
| Sam LaPortaDET | 69.63 | 49.51 | 517.73 | 3.44 | 121.92 | 96.1–150.81 |
| Brock BowersLV | 108.8 | 57.15 | 491.74 | 2.15 | 119.2 | 96.29–145.1 |
| Kenyon Sadiq MEDIUMNYJ | 97.71 | 53.72 | 475.96 | 1.94 | 112.97 | 88.29–138.5 |
| Jake TongesSF | 70.56 | 46.71 | 465.27 | 2.9 | 110.66 | 86.08–136.01 |
| Greg DulcichMIA | 81.85 | 48.18 | 444.87 | 2.5 | 107.7 | 83.39–133.41 |
| Mike GesickiCIN | 68.1 | 44.51 | 435.71 | 3 | 106.05 | 82.48–130.7 |
| Dallas GoedertPHI | 66.02 | 42.35 | 410.6 | 2.79 | 100.13 | 76.86–125.01 |
| Theo JohnsonNYG | 63.52 | 39.97 | 384.19 | 2.54 | 93.62 | 70.8–118.41 |
| Gunnar HelmTEN | 78.86 | 43.43 | 384.01 | 1.81 | 92.69 | 71.99–115.11 |
| Brenton StrangeJAX | 51.19 | 36.06 | 371.05 | 2.76 | 89.74 | 66.69–114 |
| Tommy TrembleCAR | 74.27 | 41.46 | 371.21 | 1.58 | 88.09 | 68.09–110.24 |
| Dawson KnoxBUF | 48.66 | 33.76 | 343.85 | 2.78 | 84.81 | 62.5–108.31 |
| George KittleSF | 51.98 | 34.8 | 349.41 | 2.27 | 83.38 | 61.49–105.81 |
| Cole KmetCHI | 49.09 | 32.43 | 318.52 | 2.17 | 77.33 | 56.28–101.2 |
| Tyler HigbeeLAR | 39.89 | 28.34 | 297.31 | 2.37 | 72.27 | 51.59–93.91 |
| Darnell WashingtonPIT | 46.73 | 29.66 | 284.79 | 1.94 | 69.78 | 48.9–90.42 |
| Luke MusgraveGB | 46.76 | 29.64 | 293.36 | 1.38 | 67.28 | 47.4–87.72 |
| David Njoku MEDIUMLAC | 47.64 | 28.68 | 269.47 | 1.6 | 65.2 | 46.89–83.6 |
| Elijah ArroyoSEA | 36.21 | 25.46 | 265.42 | 1.83 | 62.97 | 43.68–82.71 |
| Mason TaylorNYJ | 54.38 | 29.77 | 262.88 | 1.13 | 62.84 | 45.69–82.91 |
| Mo Alie-CoxIND | 34.89 | 24.34 | 247.37 | 2 | 61.11 | 42.59–81.46 |
| Eli Raridon MEDIUMNE | 35.1 | 24.64 | 256.39 | 1.68 | 60.36 | 42.49–79.92 |
| Noah GrayKC | 43.09 | 26.21 | 248.19 | 1.15 | 57.92 | 39.69–77.32 |
| Will Kacmarek MEDIUMMIA | 43.56 | 25.65 | 238.08 | 1.15 | 56.36 | 39.3–74.51 |
| Ja'Tavion SandersCAR | 44.72 | 24.97 | 223.43 | 1.22 | 54.6 | 38.4–71.72 |
| Brock WrightDET | 30.81 | 21.93 | 231.06 | 1.49 | 53.95 | 36.99–72.32 |
| Foster Moreau MEDIUMHOU | 33.95 | 22.22 | 221.77 | 1.37 | 52.63 | 35–72.5 |
| Brevyn Spann-FordDAL | 29.23 | 20.39 | 210.16 | 1.4 | 49.82 | 33.1–66.92 |
| Michael MayerLV | 45.31 | 23.8 | 206.37 | 0.65 | 48.35 | 33.8–65.2 |
| Josh OliverMIN | 34.56 | 20.79 | 196.12 | 1.28 | 48.09 | 31.7–65.71 |
| Durham Smythe MEDIUMBAL | 29.68 | 19.89 | 201.72 | 1.26 | 47.64 | 31.29–64.3 |
| Adam TrautmanDEN | 33.31 | 21.04 | 203.97 | 0.94 | 47.1 | 31.19–63.71 |
| Drew SampleCIN | 30.82 | 20.21 | 197.55 | 1.15 | 46.86 | 30.1–64.9 |
| John BatesWAS | 33.26 | 20.22 | 194.85 | 1.07 | 46.13 | 30.49–61.9 |
| Joe Royer MEDIUMCLE | 37.52 | 20.75 | 188.44 | 0.8 | 44.41 | 29.7–60.32 |
| Austin Hooper MEDIUMATL | 33.25 | 19.98 | 185.45 | 0.96 | 44.27 | 29.6–60.51 |
| Noah Fant MEDIUMNO | 34.77 | 20.14 | 183.58 | 0.78 | 43.18 | 29.1–57.7 |
| Payne DurhamTB | 28.06 | 17.61 | 170.45 | 1.01 | 40.7 | 25.9–55.71 |
| Daniel Bellinger MEDIUMTEN | 34.55 | 19.06 | 171.36 | 0.75 | 40.67 | 26.4–55.5 |
| Tip ReimanARI | 25.12 | 14.94 | 139.3 | 0.7 | 33.1 | 19.7–46.61 |
Leaderboards
Top modeled season outcomes
Passing Yards
- Matthew StaffordLAR4,307.94
- Sam DarnoldSEA4,295.17
- Drake MayeNE4,294.34
- Jared GoffDET4,276.08
- Trevor LawrenceJAX4,262.83
- Kyle AllenBUF4,122.54
- Daniel JonesIND4,092.44
- Dak PrescottDAL4,080.55
- Lamar JacksonBAL3,903.43
- C.J. StroudHOU3,897.59
Passing TDs
- Matthew StaffordLAR29.58
- Jared GoffDET29.49
- Drake MayeNE28.95
- Trevor LawrenceJAX28.8
- Sam DarnoldSEA28.59
- Dak PrescottDAL27.66
- Daniel JonesIND27.05
- Kyle AllenBUF26.79
- Lamar JacksonBAL23.79
- Brock PurdySF23.31
Rushing Yards
- Jonathan TaylorIND1,852.52
- Kyren WilliamsLAR1,840.57
- Jahmyr GibbsDET1,806.15
- Jadarian PriceSEA1,804.21
- James Cook IIIBUF1,797.4
- Derrick HenryBAL1,707.76
- Woody MarksHOU1,516.1
- Javonte WilliamsDAL1,471.24
- Chase BrownCIN1,455.09
- Rhamondre StevensonNE1,385.54
Rushing TDs
- Jahmyr GibbsDET19.12
- Kyren WilliamsLAR18.96
- Jonathan TaylorIND17.83
- Derrick HenryBAL17.3
- James Cook IIIBUF16.66
- Jadarian PriceSEA16.51
- Javonte WilliamsDAL16.15
- Rhamondre StevensonNE15.87
- Chase BrownCIN13.04
- Josh JacobsGB12.3
Receptions
- Amon-Ra St. BrownDET124.54
- Puka NacuaLAR120.32
- Zay FlowersBAL116.11
- Ja'Marr ChaseCIN114.1
- Justin JeffersonMIN106.47
- Emeka EgbukaTB102.26
- A.J. BrownNE100.19
- DeVonta SmithPHI96.22
- DJ MooreBUF94.45
- Tetairoa McMillanCAR93.28
Receiving Yards
- Amon-Ra St. BrownDET1,297.35
- Puka NacuaLAR1,278.46
- Zay FlowersBAL1,174.46
- Ja'Marr ChaseCIN1,128.89
- A.J. BrownNE1,048.46
- Justin JeffersonMIN1,001.35
- Emeka EgbukaTB989.01
- DJ MooreBUF971.79
- CeeDee LambDAL966.8
- DeVonta SmithPHI944.46
Receiving TDs
- Amon-Ra St. BrownDET10.12
- Tyler WarrenIND7.39
- Hunter HenryNE7.25
- Puka NacuaLAR7.09
- Jake FergusonDAL6.61
- Davante AdamsLAR6.5
- A.J. BrownNE6.46
- Zay FlowersBAL6.41
- Josh DownsIND6.41
- Ja'Marr ChaseCIN6.39
Fantasy Points
- Jahmyr GibbsDET438.92
- Kyren WilliamsLAR397.62
- Jonathan TaylorIND391.67
- Jadarian PriceSEA369.84
- Trevor LawrenceJAX368.47
- James Cook IIIBUF357.86
- Drake MayeNE351.3
- Chase BrownCIN339.45
- Javonte WilliamsDAL338.96
- Derrick HenryBAL335.82
Methodology
How to read this preview
Availability
Known structural absences are respected. Transient preseason statuses are not extended through all 17 games unless a sourced regular-season window exists. Future injuries are not simulated in this version.
Roles and ratings
Player roles combine current preseason depth evidence with prior usage and current roster context. Medium-confidence roles are marked. Team ratings use prior-season performance and preseason-safe information; they do not include future 2026 results.
Uncertainty
Means summarize 1,000 modeled seasons. p10–p90 ranges show the central spread of simulated outcomes and should be read as uncertainty, not exact forecasts.
Scope
The schedule, roles, usage, availability assumptions, and team ratings were frozen at the displayed cutoff. Changes before Week 1 require a new simulation run.